Lopez-Coto Israel, Hicks Micheal, Karion Anna, Sakai Ricardo K, Demoz Belay, Prasad Kuldeep, Whetstone James
National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD.
National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Sterling, VA.
J Appl Meteorol Climatol. 2020;59(10). doi: 10.1175/jamc-d-19-0168.1.
Accurate simulation of planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) is key to greenhouse gas emission estimation, air quality prediction and weather forecasting. This manuscript describes an extensive performance assessment of several Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model configurations where novel observations from ceilometers, surface stations and a flux tower were used to study their ability to reproduce planetary boundary layer heights (PBLH) and the impact that the urban heat island (UHI) has on the modeled PBLHs in the greater Washington, D.C. area. In addition, CO measurements at two urban towers were compared to tracer transport simulations. The ensemble of models used 4 PBL parameterizations, 2 sources of initial and boundary conditions and 1 configuration including the building energy parameterization (BEP) urban canopy model. Results have shown low biases over the whole domain and period for wind speed, wind direction and temperature with no drastic differences between meteorological drivers. We find that PBLH errors are mostly positively correlated with sensible heat flux errors, and that modeled positive UHI intensities are associated with deeper modeled PBLs over the urban areas. In addition, we find that modeled PBLHs are typically biased low during nighttime for most of the configurations with the exception of those using the MYNN parametrization and that these biases directly translate to tracer biases. Overall, the configurations using MYNN scheme performed the best, reproducing the PBLH and CO molar fractions reasonably well during all hours, thus opening the door to future nighttime inverse modeling.
准确模拟行星边界层高度(PBLH)是估算温室气体排放、预测空气质量和天气预报的关键。本文描述了对几种天气研究与预报(WRF)模型配置的广泛性能评估,其中利用来自 ceilometers、地面站和通量塔的新观测数据,研究它们再现行星边界层高度(PBLH)的能力,以及城市热岛(UHI)对华盛顿特区大都市区模拟的 PBLHs 的影响。此外,还将两个城市高塔的 CO 测量值与示踪剂传输模拟结果进行了比较。该模型集合使用了 4 种 PBL 参数化方法、2 种初始和边界条件来源以及 1 种包括建筑能量参数化(BEP)城市冠层模型的配置。结果表明,在整个区域和时间段内,风速、风向和温度的偏差较小,气象驱动因素之间没有显著差异。我们发现,PBLH 误差大多与感热通量误差呈正相关,并且模拟的正 UHI 强度与城市地区模拟的更深 PBL 相关。此外,我们发现,除了使用 MYNN 参数化方法的配置外,大多数配置在夜间模拟的 PBLHs 通常存在偏低偏差,并且这些偏差直接转化为示踪剂偏差。总体而言,使用 MYNN 方案的配置表现最佳,在所有时段都能较好地再现 PBLH 和 CO 摩尔分数,从而为未来的夜间反演建模打开了大门。