Department of Pathology, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Vitalant, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Vox Sang. 2021 Aug;116(7):831-840. doi: 10.1111/vox.13065. Epub 2021 Jan 25.
A risk assessment model for predicting the risk of haemolytic disease of the fetus and newborn (HDFN) in future pregnancies following the transfusion of Rh(D)-positive red blood cell (RBC)-containing products to females of childbearing potential (FCP) was developed, accounting for the age that the FCP is transfused in various countries.
The HDFN risk prediction model included the following inputs: risk of FCP death in trauma, Rh(D) alloimmunization rate following Rh(D)-positive RBC transfusion, expected number of live births following resuscitation, probability of carrying an Rh(D)-positive fetus, the probability of HDFN in an Rh(D)-positive fetus carried by an alloimmunized mother. The model was implemented in Microsoft R Open, and one million FCPs of each age between 18 and 49 years old were simulated. Published data from eight countries, including the United States, were utilized to generate country-specific HDFN risk estimates.
The risk predictions showed similar characteristics for each country in that the overall risk of having a pregnancy affected by HDFN was higher if the FCP was younger when she received her Rh(D)-positive transfusion than if she was older. In the United States, the overall risk of HDFN if the FCP was transfused at age 18 was 3·4% (mild: 1·20%, moderate: 0·45%; severe: 1·15%; IUFD: 0·57%); the risk was approximately 0% if the FCP was 43 years or older at the time of transfusion.
This model can be used to predict HDFN outcomes when establishing transfusion policies as it relates to the administration of Rh(D)-positive products for massively bleeding FCPs.
开发了一种预测女性生育能力(FCP)接受 Rh(D)阳性红细胞(RBC)含血制品输注后未来妊娠发生胎儿和新生儿溶血病(HDFN)风险的风险评估模型,该模型考虑了 FCP 在不同国家接受输血的年龄。
HDFN 风险预测模型包括以下输入项:创伤中 FCP 的死亡风险、Rh(D)阳性 RBC 输注后 Rh(D)同种免疫率、复苏后活产数、携带 Rh(D)阳性胎儿的概率、同种免疫母亲携带 Rh(D)阳性胎儿的 HDFN 概率。该模型在 Microsoft R Open 中实现,模拟了每个年龄在 18 至 49 岁之间的 100 万名 FCP。利用来自美国等八个国家的已发表数据生成了针对特定国家的 HDFN 风险估计。
风险预测显示每个国家的特征相似,如果 FCP 在接受 Rh(D)阳性输血时年龄较小,那么她的妊娠受到 HDFN 影响的总体风险就会更高。在美国,如果 FCP 在 18 岁时接受输血,HDFN 的总体风险为 3.4%(轻度:1.20%,中度:0.45%;重度:1.15%;IUFD:0.57%);如果 FCP 在输血时年龄为 43 岁或以上,则风险约为 0%。
该模型可用于预测输血政策制定时与大量出血的 FCP 输注 Rh(D)阳性产品相关的 HDFN 结果。