University of Central Florida, Orlando, USA.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2021 Oct;65(13-14):1520-1535. doi: 10.1177/0306624X21990834. Epub 2021 Jan 27.
This study involved a mixed method evaluation of interpersonal violence and institutional misconduct in the Los Angeles county jail system. Interviews with 52 correctional staff uncovered a widely shared belief that AB 109, Prop 47, and the Rosas decision had all contributed to an increase in violence and misconduct in the jail. Analysis of administrative records indicated there was a rise in the monthly rates of these adverse outcomes from 2010 to 2017. Intervention ARIMA models, however, revealed evidence of a statistically significant increase following only the passage of Prop 47. An examination of inmate characteristics across the 8-year observation period confirmed staff suspicions that jail incarcerates with more extensive criminal histories were being confined following the passage of these policies. If jails are to be responsible for confining higher risk inmates, provisions should also be made to increase the availability of evidence-based rehabilitative programming and other treatment services that can help combat the occurrence of these adverse outcomes.
本研究采用混合方法评估了洛杉矶县监狱系统中的人际暴力和机构不当行为。对 52 名狱警的访谈揭示了一种广泛的共识，即 AB 109 号法案、第 47 号提案和罗萨斯裁决都导致了监狱内暴力和不当行为的增加。对行政记录的分析表明，从 2010 年到 2017 年，这些不良后果的月发生率有所上升。然而，干预 ARIMA 模型显示，仅在第 47 号提案通过后，才出现了统计学上显著增加的证据。对 8 年观察期内囚犯特征的检查证实了狱警的怀疑，即监狱在这些政策通过后关押的囚犯犯罪记录更为广泛。如果监狱要负责监禁高风险囚犯，那么还应提供更多的循证康复方案和其他治疗服务，以帮助减少这些不良后果的发生。
