T-wave heterogeneity in standard resting 12-lead ECGs is associated with 90-day cardiac mortality in women following emergency department admission: A nested case-control study.

BACKGROUND

We investigated whether T-wave heterogeneity (TWH) can identify patients who are at risk for near-term cardiac mortality.

METHODS

A nested case-control analysis was performed in the 888 patients admitted to the Emergency Department (ED) of our medical center in July through September 2018 who had ≥2 serial troponin measurement tests within 6 hr for acute coronary syndrome evaluation to rule-in or rule-out the presence of acute myocardial infarction. Patients who died from cardiac causes during 90 days after ED admission were considered cases (n = 20; 10 women) and were matched 1:4 on sex and age with patients who survived during this period (n = 80, 40 women). TWH, that is, interlead splay of T waves, was automatically assessed from precordial leads by second central moment analysis.

RESULTS

TWH was significantly elevated at ED admission in 12-lead resting ECGs of female patients who died of cardiac causes during the following 90 days compared to female survivors (100 ± 14.9 vs. 40 ± 3.6 µV, p < .0001). TWH generated areas under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of 0.933 in women (p < .0001) and 0.573 in men (p = .4). In women, the ROC-guided 48-µV TWH cut point for near-term cardiac mortality produced an adjusted odds ratio of 121.37 (95% CI: 2.89-6,699.84; p = .02) with 100% sensitivity and 82.5% specificity. In Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, TWH  ≥ 48 µV predicted cardiac mortality in women during 90-day follow-up with a hazard ratio of 27.84 (95% CI: 7.29-106.36, p < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Elevated TWH is associated with near-term cardiac mortality among women evaluated for acute coronary syndrome.