Am J Epidemiol. 2021 Jul 1;190(7):1253-1259. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwab022.
Parents indicate that safety is their top concern about human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination. A data-mining method not requiring prespecification of health outcome(s) or postexposure period(s) of potentially increased risk can be used to identify possible associations between an exposure and any of thousands of medically attended health outcomes; this method was applied to data on the 9-valent HPV vaccine (HPV9) to detect potential safety problems. Data on 9- to 26-year-olds who had received HPV9 vaccine between November 4, 2016, and August 5, 2018, inclusive, were extracted from the MarketScan database and analyzed for statistically significant clustering of incident diagnoses within the hierarchy of diagnoses coded using the International Classification of Diseases and temporally within the 1 year after vaccination, using the self-controlled tree-temporal scan statistic and TreeScan software. Only 56 days of postvaccination enrollment was required; subsequent follow-up was censored at disenrollment. Multiple testing was adjusted for. The analysis included 493,089 doses of HPV9. Almost all signals resulted from temporal confounding, not unexpected with a 1-year follow-up period. The only plausible signals were for nonspecific adverse events (e.g., injection-site reactions, headache) on days 1-2 after vaccination, with attributable risks as low as 1 per 100,000 vaccinees. Considering the broad scope of the evaluation and the high statistical power, the findings of no specific serious adverse events should provide reassurance about this vaccine's safety.
家长们表示,他们最关心的是 HPV 疫苗接种的安全性。有一种数据挖掘方法不需要预先指定健康结果或潜在风险增加的暴露后时期,就可以用来识别暴露与任何数千种医疗相关健康结果之间的可能关联;该方法应用于九价 HPV 疫苗 (HPV9) 的数据,以发现潜在的安全问题。从 MarketScan 数据库中提取了 2016 年 11 月 4 日至 2018 年 8 月 5 日期间接种 HPV9 疫苗的 9 至 26 岁人群的数据,并使用自我对照树时间扫描统计量和 TreeScan 软件进行分析,以检测在使用国际疾病分类编码的诊断层次结构内和疫苗接种后 1 年内诊断出的新发病例在时间上是否存在显著聚集,该分析需要接种后 56 天的入组时间;随后在退出时进行随访。对多重检验进行了调整。该分析包括 493089 剂 HPV9。几乎所有信号都源于时间混淆,这在 1 年的随访期内是意料之中的。唯一合理的信号是接种后 1-2 天出现非特异性不良事件(例如,注射部位反应、头痛),归因风险低至每 10 万名疫苗接种者 1 例。考虑到评估的广泛范围和高统计能力,没有发现特定严重不良事件的发现应该会让人们对这种疫苗的安全性感到放心。