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[坎帕尼亚大区死亡率地图集。2006 - 2014年市级全因死亡率和特定病因死亡率]

[Mortality Atlas of the Campania Region. All-cause and cause-specific mortality at municipal level, 2006-2014].

作者信息

Fusco Mario, Guida Antonella, Bidoli Ettore, Ciullo Valerio, Vitale Maria Francesca, Savoia Fabio, Pirozzi Angelo, Serraino Diego

机构信息

Registro Tumori ASL Napoli 3 Sud, Brusciano (NA);

Direzione Generale per la Tutela della Salute e Programmazione Sistema Sanitario Regione Campania, Napoli.

出版信息

Epidemiol Prev. 2020 Jan-Feb;44(1 Suppl 1):1-144. doi: 10.19191/EP20.1.S1.P001.003.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This Monograph aims to provide the scientific community and the Regional Healthcare Service an up-to-date Atlas of mortality for the Campania Region (Southern Italy). The Atlas shows an overview of mortality through comparisons with national data and with intraregional macroareas. Maps presenting risk measures with municipal details are also provided.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Both overall and cause-specific mortality data for the period 2006-2014 referred to people residing in Campania Region are analysed in this Atlas. Twenty-nine death causes (major causes and specific cancers) are studied; for each of them, it has been provided: • direct standardised rates (standard population EU 2013) referred to Italy, Campania Region, and the seven regional Local Health Units (LHUs); • standardised mortality ratios (SMRs), estimated on a regional basis, referred to every LHU; • years of life lost (number and rate) both on a regional and on LHU basis; • mortality rate trends for the period 2006-2014, including annual percentage changes (APCs) for Italy, Campania Region, and every LHU; • for every death cause, regional maps are provided also with municipal details for Relative Risks (RRs) and risk posterior probabilities (PPs) estimated through a Bayesian hierarchical model. Risk estimates are presented both crude and adjusted by socioeconomic deprivation index resulted from the 2011 Census of the Italian National Institute fo Statistics.

RESULTS

In Campania Region, standardised mortality ratios (per 100,000; IC95%) higher than the national average have been recorded for the following causes: all causes of death: M: 1,233.3 (IC95% 1,227.9-1,238.9) vs 1,093.8 (IC95% 1,092.5-1,095.1); F: 826.1 (IC95% 822.6-829.7) vs 722.8 (IC95% 721.9-732.6); digestive system diseases: M: 51.2 (IC95% 50.2-52.3) vs 44.2 (IC95% 44.0-44.5); F: 35.8 (IC95% 35.1-36.6) vs 29,2 (IC95% 29.0-29.4); circulatory system diseases: M: 493.1 (IC95% 489.6-496.8) vs 404.3 (IC95% 403.5-405.1); F: 388.5 (IC95% 386.1-390.9) vs 296.5 (IC95% 295.9-297.0); genitourinary system diseases: M: 27.2 (IC95% 26.4-28.1) vs 21.9- (IC95% 21.7-22.1); F: 18.2 (IC95% 17.7-18.7) vs 13.7- (IC95% 13.5-13.8); endocrine and metabolic diseases: M: 60.0 (IC95% 58.8-61.2) vs 43.8 (IC95% 43.5-44.0); F: 60.7 (IC95% 59.8-61.7) vs 36.6 (IC95% 36.4-36.8); myocardial infarction: M: 71.1 (IC95% 69.8-72.4) vs 60.9 (IC95% 60.6-61.2); F: 38.2 (IC95% 37.4-39.0) vs 30.2-(IC95% 30.0-30.4); diabetes: M: 52.6 (IC95% 51.5-53.8) vs 35.1 (IC95% 34.9-35.3); F: 53.8 (IC95% 52.9-54.7) vs 28.6 (IC95% 28.4-28.8). On the other hand, mortality rates comparable to or lower than the national average are observed for the remaining causes of death, with different differences for gender. Mortality for cancer causes in Campania Region presents rates higher than the rates observed at national level in males for the following causes: all cancers: 380.4 (IC95% 377.5-383.3) vs 356.5 (IC95% 355.8-357.2); lung cancer: 112.5 (IC95% 110.9/114.0) vs 93.0 (IC95% 92.6-93.3);larynx cancer: 7.6 (IC95% 7.2-8.0) vs 5.5 (IC95% 5.4-5.6);bladder cancer: 25.1 (IC95% 24.4-25.9) vs 17.3 (IC95% 17.1-17.4); in females for the following causes: liver cancer: 3.8 (IC95% 3.6-4.1) vs 3.3 (IC95% 3.2-3.4);bladder cancer:: 3.5 (IC95% 3.3-3.7) vs 3.0 (IC95% 2.9-3.0). In Campania Region, mortality rates comparable to or lower than the national average are observed for the remaining cancer causes both in females and in males. For almost all the death causes, the highest mortality rates are observed in the three LHUs of Naples (Naples centre, Naples 2 North, Naples 3 South); for some death causes, also the Province of Caserta presents the highest mortality rates. It is worth noting that these areas are characterised by the highest urbanisation and regional population density, and by exposures to possible environmental risks. Time trend analyses highlight that regional and national trends are similar for almost all the examined death causes. In Campania Region, males present decreasing trends for all-cause mortality; for respiratory system, circulatory system, and digestive system diseases; for all malignant cancers; for lung, prostate, and stomach cancers; for leukaemias. On the other hand, an increasing trend is shown for liver cancer. Trends for genitourinary system and nervous system diseases are almost unchanged; the same is for blood diseases and haemolymphopoietic system cancers. In females, there is a decreasing mortality trend for all causes, for circulatory system and digestive system diseases; for haemolymphopoietic system and stomach cancers; on the contrary, an increasing trend is highlighted for communicable diseases and lung and liver cancer, mirroring the national situation. Trends for respiratory system, genitourinary system, nervous system diseases; blood diseases; all malignant cancers; kidney and breast cancers; leukaemias are almost unchanged. The analysis of mortality data on municipal basis reported that the most excesses in mortality risk occur in the municipalities included in the area with the highest urban development of Naples and, partly, in the municipalities of the Caserta Province. The distribution of the excesses at municipal level is not homogeneous in Campania Region, but there are relevant intermunicipal differences related to the considered causes of death. This heterogeneity in the distribution of excess risk is a characteristic also of the area called Terra di fuochi (Land of fires), both for overall mortality and for mortality by gender.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality data are a valuable support to the analysis of the population health conditions. Excesses in general mortality and for some specific causes found in Campania Region vs Italy in 2006-2014 suggest that in this region there is a need to implement more strict intervention in terms both of primary prevention (for individuals and the environment) and of management of the whole care and clinical pathway of some pathologies, bearing in mind the burden of regional structural and economic factors on these excesses. The highest excesses in mortality in Campania Region have been found in the areas with the highest degree of urbanisation: this confirms the national data of a different distribution of diseases - and mortality - in the areas characterised by high urban development compared to rural areas. Finally, cause-specific mortality maps at municipal level, extended to the whole region, could enable to identify possible critical issues which may need epidemiological studies focused on possible local factors of environmental pressure.

摘要

目的

本专著旨在为科学界和地区医疗服务机构提供一本关于坎帕尼亚大区(意大利南部)死亡率的最新地图集。该地图集通过与国家数据以及区域内宏观区域进行比较,展示了死亡率的概况。还提供了呈现具有市政细节的风险度量的地图。

材料与方法

本地图集分析了2006 - 2014年期间居住在坎帕尼亚大区的人群的总体和特定病因死亡率数据。研究了29种死亡原因(主要原因和特定癌症);针对每种原因,提供了以下信息:• 意大利、坎帕尼亚大区以及七个地区地方卫生单位(LHU)的直接标准化率(标准人群为欧盟2013年);• 基于区域估计的每个LHU的标准化死亡比(SMR);• 区域和LHU层面的寿命损失年数(数量和率);• 2006 - 2014年期间的死亡率趋势,包括意大利、坎帕尼亚大区以及每个LHU的年度百分比变化(APC);• 对于每种死亡原因,还提供了区域地图,其中包含通过贝叶斯分层模型估计的相对风险(RR)和风险后验概率(PP)的市政细节。风险估计以粗率和根据意大利国家统计局2011年人口普查得出的社会经济剥夺指数进行调整后的形式呈现。

结果

在坎帕尼亚大区,以下原因的标准化死亡比(每10万;95%置信区间)高于全国平均水平:所有死因:男性:1,233.3(95%置信区间1,227.9 - 1,238.9)对比1,093.8(95%置信区间1,092.5 - 1,095.1);女性:826.1(95%置信区间822.6 - 829.7)对比722.8(95%置信区间721.9 - 732.6);消化系统疾病:男性:51.2(95%置信区间50.2 - 52.3)对比44.2(95%置信区间44.0 - 44.5);女性:35.8(95%置信区间35.1 - 36.6)对比29.2(95%置信区间29.0 - 29.4);循环系统疾病:男性:493.1(95%置信区间489.6 - 496.8)对比404.3(95%置信区间403.5 - 405.1);女性:388.5(95%置信区间386.1 - 390.9)对比296.5(95%置信区间295.9 - 297.0);泌尿生殖系统疾病:男性:27.2(95%置信区间26.4 - 28.1)对比21.9(95%置信区间21.7 - 22.1);女性:18.2(95%置信区间17.7 - 18.7)对比13.7(95%置信区间13.5 - 13.8);内分泌和代谢疾病:男性:60.0(95%置信区间58.8 - 61.2)对比43.8(95%置信区间43.5 - 44.0);女性:60.7(95%置信区间59.8 - 61.7)对比36.6(95%置信区间36.4 - 36.8);心肌梗死:男性:71.1(95%置信区间69.8 - 72.4)对比60.9(95%置信区间60.6 - 61.2);女性:38.2(95%置信区间37.4 - 39.0)对比30.2(95%置信区间30.0 - 30.4);糖尿病:男性:52.6(95%置信区间51.5 - 53.8)对比35.1(95%置信区间34.9 - 35.3);女性:53.8(95%置信区间52.9 - 54.7)对比28.6(95%置信区间28.4 - 28.8)。另一方面,其余死因的死亡率与全国平均水平相当或低于全国平均水平,不同死因在性别上存在差异。坎帕尼亚大区癌症死因的死亡率在男性中高于全国水平的原因如下:所有癌症:380.4(95%置信区间377.5 - 383.3)对比356.5(95%置信区间355.8 - 357.2);肺癌:112.5(95%置信区间110.9/114.0)对比93.0(95%置信区间92.6 - 93.3);喉癌:7.6(95%置信区间7.2 - 8.0)对比5.5(95%置信区间5.4 - 5.6);膀胱癌:25.1(95%置信区间24.4 - 25.9)对比17.3(95%置信区间17.1 - 17.4);在女性中高于全国水平的原因如下:肝癌:3.8(95%置信区间3.6 -

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