Division of Cardiology, Hospital Maria Hilf Mönchengladbach, Mönchengladbach, Germany.
Department of Cardiology, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany.
PLoS One. 2021 Feb 26;16(2):e0247667. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0247667. eCollection 2021.
Critically ill patients with cardiogenic shock could benefit from ventricular assist device support using the Impella microaxial blood pump. However, recent studies suggested Impella not to improve outcomes. We, therefore, evaluated outcomes and predictors in a real-world scenario.
In this retrospective single-center trial, 125 patients suffering from cardiac arrest/cardiogenic shock between 2008 and 2018 were analyzed. 93 Patients had a prior successful cardiopulmonary resuscitation. The primary endpoint was hospital mortality. Associations of covariates with the primary endpoint were assessed by univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and optimal cut-offs (using Youden index) were obtained.
Hospital mortality was high (81%). Baseline lactate was 4.7mmol/L [IQR = 7.1mmol/L]. In multivariable logistic regression, only age (aOR 1.13 95%CI 1.06-1.20; p<0.001) and lactate (aOR 1.23 95%CI 1.004-1.516; p = 0.046) were associated with hospital mortality, and the respective optimal cut-offs were >3.3mmol/L and age >66 years. Patients were retrospectively stratified into three risk groups: Patients aged ≤66 years and lactate ≤3.3mmol (low-risk; n = 22); patients aged >66 years or lactate >3.3mmol/L (medium-risk; n = 52); and patients both aged >66 years and lactate >3.3mmol/L (high-risk, n = 51). Risk of death increased from 41% in the low-risk group, to 79% in the medium risk group and 100% in the high-risk group. The predictive abilities of this model were high (AUC 0.84; 95% 0.77-0.92).
Mortality was high in this real-world collective of severely ill cardiogenic shock patients. Better patient selection is warranted to avoid unethical use of Impella. Age and lactate might help to improve patient selection.
患有心源性休克的危重症患者可以从 Impella 微轴流血泵支持中获益。然而,最近的研究表明 Impella 并不能改善预后。因此,我们在真实环境中评估了结果和预测因素。
在这项回顾性单中心试验中,分析了 2008 年至 2018 年间患有心脏骤停/心源性休克的 125 名患者。93 名患者之前有过成功的心肺复苏。主要终点是住院死亡率。使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归评估协变量与主要终点的关联。获得调整后的优势比(aOR)和最佳截断值(使用约登指数)。
住院死亡率很高(81%)。基线乳酸值为 4.7mmol/L[IQR=7.1mmol/L]。多变量逻辑回归显示,只有年龄(aOR 1.13 95%CI 1.06-1.20;p<0.001)和乳酸(aOR 1.23 95%CI 1.004-1.516;p=0.046)与住院死亡率相关,相应的最佳截断值为>3.3mmol/L 和年龄>66 岁。患者被回顾性分为三个风险组:年龄≤66 岁且乳酸≤3.3mmol(低危;n=22);年龄>66 岁或乳酸>3.3mmol/L(中危;n=52);年龄>66 岁且乳酸>3.3mmol/L(高危,n=51)。低危组的死亡率为 41%,中危组为 79%,高危组为 100%,死亡率逐渐增加。该模型的预测能力较高(AUC 0.84;95%置信区间 0.77-0.92)。
在这个真实世界的严重心源性休克患者群体中,死亡率很高。需要更好的患者选择,以避免不道德地使用 Impella。年龄和乳酸可能有助于改善患者选择。