Bravo-Perez C, Fernández-Caballero M, Soler-Espejo E, Garcia-Torralba E, Sorigue M, García-Malo M D, Jerez A, Vicente V, Roldán V, de Arriba F
Haematology and Medical Oncology Department, Morales Meseguer University Hospital, Centro Regional de Hemodonación, IMIB-Arrixaca, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain.
Haematology and Medical Oncology Department, Morales Meseguer University Hospital, Avenida Marqués de los Vélez, S/N, 30007, Murcia, Spain.
J Thromb Thrombolysis. 2021 Oct;52(3):848-853. doi: 10.1007/s11239-021-02407-5. Epub 2021 Mar 1.
Multiple myeloma (MM) is associated to an increased incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE). IMPEDE-VTE score constitutes a valuable risk assessment tool for VTE prediction in first-line MM patients. Nevertheless, refinement of the primary thromboprophylaxis category of this score (which pools aspirin and heparin) seems desirable. To investigate the role of the type of thromboprophylaxis, within IMPEDE-VTE score, for VTE prediction in MM patients. Retrospective analysis of a single-center cohort of 438 MM patients receiving first-line antimyeloma treatment (1991-2020). IMPEDE-VTE score was calculated. Primary thromboprophylaxis was additionally stratified into aspirin- and heparin-based regimen subgroups. VTE risk was analyzed by Cox regression. Median follow-up during first-line antimyeloma treatment was 6.0 months (IQR 4.1-9.0 months). Twenty-three patients developed VTE (5.3%, 95%CI 3.4-7.8%). IMPEDE-VTE score showed a notable predictive value (area under the ROC curve: 0.70, 95%CI 0.60-0.80). Cox analysis confirmed that 1-point increase in the score resulted in a 1.3-fold increase in VTE risk (HR 1.30, 95%CI 1.13-1.53, p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, the type of primary thromboprophylaxis (heparin versus aspirin) was an independent predictive factor (HR 0.15, 95% CI 0.05-0.47, p = 0.001). The combined model showed a higher goodness-of-fit (Akaike Information Criterion [AIC]: 99) than IMPEDE-VTE separately (AIC:235). Our analysis contributes to the external validation of IMPEDE-VTE score for the prediction of VTE in MM. But more interestingly, our results demonstrate that among those patients receiving thromboprophylaxis, the type of regimen (heparin versus aspirin) adds independent predictive value and should be explored for a more accurate risk assessment.
多发性骨髓瘤(MM)与静脉血栓栓塞(VTE)发病率增加相关。IMPEDE-VTE评分是一线MM患者VTE预测的重要风险评估工具。然而,该评分的一级血栓预防类别(将阿司匹林和肝素合并)似乎需要改进。为研究IMPEDE-VTE评分中血栓预防类型对MM患者VTE预测的作用。对438例接受一线抗骨髓瘤治疗的MM患者(1991-2020年)的单中心队列进行回顾性分析。计算IMPEDE-VTE评分。一级血栓预防进一步分为基于阿司匹林和基于肝素的治疗方案亚组。通过Cox回归分析VTE风险。一线抗骨髓瘤治疗期间的中位随访时间为6.0个月(四分位间距4.1-9.0个月)。23例患者发生VTE(5.3%,95%CI 3.4-7.8%)。IMPEDE-VTE评分显示出显著的预测价值(ROC曲线下面积:0.70,95%CI 0.60-0.80)。Cox分析证实,评分增加1分导致VTE风险增加1.3倍(HR 1.30,95%CI 1.13-1.53,p<0.001)。在多变量分析中,一级血栓预防类型(肝素与阿司匹林)是独立的预测因素(HR 0.15,95%CI 0.05-0.47,p=0.001)。联合模型显示出比单独的IMPEDE-VTE评分更好的拟合优度(赤池信息准则[AIC]:99)(AIC:235)。我们的分析有助于对IMPEDE-VTE评分在MM患者VTE预测中的外部验证。但更有趣的是,我们的结果表明,在接受血栓预防的患者中,治疗方案类型(肝素与阿司匹林)增加了独立的预测价值,应进一步探索以进行更准确的风险评估。