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拟行紧急肝移植评估患者转至移植中心的结局预测因素。

Predictors of Outcomes of Patients Referred to a Transplant Center for Urgent Liver Transplantation Evaluation.

机构信息

Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyStanford University Medical CenterStanfordCAUSA.

Division of Abdominal TransplantationStanford University Medical CenterStanfordCAUSA.

出版信息

Hepatol Commun. 2020 Dec 27;5(3):516-525. doi: 10.1002/hep4.1644. eCollection 2021 Mar.

Abstract

Liver transplantation (LT) is definitive treatment for end-stage liver disease. This study evaluated factors predicting successful evaluation in patients transferred for urgent inpatient LT evaluation. Eighty-two patients with cirrhosis were transferred for urgent LT evaluation from January 2016 to December 2018. Alcohol-associated liver disease was the common etiology of liver disease (42/82). Of these 82 patients, 35 (43%) were declined for LT, 27 (33%) were wait-listed for LT, 5 (6%) improved, and 15 (18%) died. Psychosocial factors were the most common reasons for being declined for LT (49%). Predictors for listing and receiving LT on multivariate analysis included Hispanic race (odds ratio [OR], 1.89;  = 0.003), Asian race (OR, 1.52 = 0.02), non-Hispanic ethnicity (OR, 1.49 = 0.04), hyponatremia (OR, 1.38;  = 0.04), serum albumin (OR, 1.13 = 0.01), and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)-Na (OR, 1.02 = 0.003). Public insurance (i.e., Medicaid) was a predictor of not being listed for LT on multivariate analysis (OR, 0.77 = 0.02). Excluding patients declined for psychosocial reasons, predictors of being declined for LT on multivariate analysis included Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) score >51.5 (OR, 1.26 = 0.03), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) grade 3 (OR, 1.41 = 0.01), hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (OR, 1.38 = 0.01), and respiratory failure (OR, 1.51 = 0.01). Predictors of 3-month mortality included CLIF-C score >51.5 (hazard ratio [HR], 2.52;  = 0.04) and intensive care unit (HR, 8.25 < 0.001). MELD-Na, albumin, hyponatremia, ACLF grade 3, HRS, respiratory failure, public insurance, Hispanic race, Asian race, and non-Hispanic ethnicity predicted liver transplant outcome. Lack of psychosocial support was a major reason for being declined for LT. The CLIF-C score predicted being declined for LT and mortality.

摘要

肝移植(LT)是治疗终末期肝病的确定性方法。本研究评估了预测患者接受紧急住院 LT 评估成功的因素。2016 年 1 月至 2018 年 12 月,82 例肝硬化患者因紧急 LT 评估而转入。酒精相关性肝病是肝病的常见病因(42/82)。在这 82 例患者中,35 例(43%)被拒绝 LT,27 例(33%)等待 LT,5 例(6%)好转,15 例(18%)死亡。社会心理因素是被拒绝 LT 的最常见原因(49%)。多变量分析显示,接受 LT 的预测因素包括西班牙裔(比值比[OR],1.89;=0.003)、亚裔(OR,1.52;=0.02)、非西班牙裔(OR,1.49;=0.04)、低钠血症(OR,1.38;=0.04)、血清白蛋白(OR,1.13;=0.01)和终末期肝病模型-钠(MELD-Na)(OR,1.02;=0.003)。公共保险(即医疗补助)是多变量分析中未被列入 LT 名单的预测因素(OR,0.77;=0.02)。排除因社会心理原因被拒绝的患者,多变量分析中被拒绝 LT 的预测因素包括慢性肝衰竭联盟(CLIF-C)评分>51.5(OR,1.26;=0.03)、慢加急性肝衰竭(ACLF)3 级(OR,1.41;=0.01)、肝肾综合征(HRS)(OR,1.38;=0.01)和呼吸衰竭(OR,1.51;=0.01)。3 个月死亡率的预测因素包括 CLIF-C 评分>51.5(风险比[HR],2.52;=0.04)和重症监护病房(HR,8.25;<0.001)。MELD-Na、白蛋白、低钠血症、ACLF 3 级、HRS、呼吸衰竭、公共保险、西班牙裔、亚裔和非西班牙裔是肝移植结果的预测因素。缺乏社会心理支持是被拒绝 LT 的主要原因。CLIF-C 评分预测 LT 失败和死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7f9e/7917272/fb2532dbac4f/HEP4-5-516-g001.jpg

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