Blunt Danielle N, Smyth Liam, Nagamuthu Chenthila, Gatov Evgenia, Croxford Ruth, Mozessohn Lee, Cheung Matthew C
1Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
2Department of Haematology, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
J Natl Compr Canc Netw. 2021 Mar 10;19(6):719-725. doi: 10.6004/jnccn.2020.7654.
Because of prolonged screening requirements, patient and time-dependent selection have been proposed as potential biases in clinical trials. The screening process may exclude patients with a need for emergent treatment (and a short period from diagnosis to treatment initiation [DTI]). We explored the impact of DTI on overall survival (OS) in a population-based cohort of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).
Using population-based administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we identified adults aged ≥18 years with DLBCL treated with rituximab-based chemotherapy for curative intent between January 2005 and December 2015. Cox regression and multivariable analyses were presented to evaluate the impact of time from DTI on OS, controlling for relevant covariates.
We identified 9,441 patients with DLBCL in Ontario; median age was 66 years, 53.6% were male, median number of comorbidities (Johns Hopkins aggregated diagnosis groups) was 10 (interquartile range [IQR], 8-13), and median DTI was 37 days (IQR, 22-61). Between treatment initiation and study end, 43% of patients died (median OS, 1 year; IQR, 0.4-2.8 years). Shorter DTI was a significant predictor of mortality (P<.001). Compared with the shortest DTI period of 0-18 days, those who commenced therapy at 19-29 days (hazard ratio [HR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.68-0.84), 30-41 days (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.63-0.78), 42-57 days (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.46-0.58), and 58-180 days (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.47-0.58) had improved survival. Increasing age (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.03-1.04), male sex (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.14-1.32), and increasing number of comorbidities (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.11-1.13) were associated with inferior survival.
Among patients with DLBCL, shorter DTI was associated with inferior OS. Therefore, DTI may represent a surrogate marker for aggressive biology. Clinical trials with lengthy screening periods are likely creating a time-dependent patient selection bias.
由于长期的筛查要求,患者和时间依赖性选择被认为是临床试验中的潜在偏倚。筛查过程可能会排除需要紧急治疗(以及从诊断到治疗开始[DTI]时间较短)的患者。我们在一个基于人群的弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤(DLBCL)患者队列中探讨了DTI对总生存期(OS)的影响。
利用加拿大安大略省基于人群的行政数据库,我们确定了2005年1月至2015年12月期间年龄≥18岁、接受基于利妥昔单抗的化疗以达到治愈目的的DLBCL成年患者。采用Cox回归和多变量分析来评估从DTI开始的时间对OS的影响,并对相关协变量进行控制。
我们在安大略省确定了9441例DLBCL患者;中位年龄为66岁,53.6%为男性,合并症中位数(约翰霍普金斯综合诊断组)为10(四分位间距[IQR],8 - 13),中位DTI为37天(IQR,22 - 61)。在治疗开始至研究结束期间,43%的患者死亡(中位OS,1年;IQR,0.4 - 2.8年)。较短的DTI是死亡率的显著预测因素(P <.001)。与最短的DTI期0 - 18天相比,在19 - 29天开始治疗的患者(风险比[HR],0.75;95%置信区间[CI],0.68 - 0.84)、30 - 41天开始治疗的患者(HR,0.70;95% CI,0.63 - 0.78)、42 - 57天开始治疗的患者(HR,0.52;95% CI,0.46 - 0.58)以及58 - 180天开始治疗的患者(HR,0.52;95% CI,0.47 - 0.58)生存率有所提高。年龄增加(HR,1.03;95% CI,1.03 - 1.04)、男性(HR,1.23;95% CI,1.14 - 1.32)和合并症数量增加(HR,1.12;95% CI,1.11 - 1.13)与较差的生存率相关。
在DLBCL患者中,较短的DTI与较差的OS相关。因此,DTI可能代表侵袭性生物学行为的替代标志物。筛查期较长的临床试验可能会产生时间依赖性的患者选择偏倚。