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66 个国家的社会保障公众支持度:繁荣、不平等和家庭收入的互动原因。

Public support for social security in 66 countries: Prosperity, inequality, and household income as interactive causes.

机构信息

Ivey School of Business, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada.

Department of Sociology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.

出版信息

Br J Sociol. 2021 Dec;72(5):1347-1377. doi: 10.1111/1468-4446.12842. Epub 2021 Mar 11.

Abstract

It is widely accepted that support for government intervention is highest among people in lower socioeconomic positions, during economic recessions and in less prosperous countries. However, the relationship between income inequality and attitudes toward government intervention is less clear. We contribute new insights to both questions by exploring how subjective household income, economic prosperity, and income inequality interact to influence attitudes. Using mixed-effects and country fixed-effects models fitted to data from 66 countries, we demonstrate that income inequality has a strong positive impact on attitudes toward government intervention in rich countries but no discernable effect in poor countries. Concomitantly, the impact of economic prosperity differs by level of inequality. It has little effect when income inequality is relatively low, a weakening effect as inequality rises, and no apparent effect when inequality is high. Consistent with these findings, the effect of subjective household income on attitudes toward government intervention is strongest in countries that are simultaneously very prosperous and highly unequal. Taken together, these findings suggest that if inequality continues to rise, especially in rich countries, public demand for social spending will eventually increase as well.

摘要

人们普遍认为,在经济衰退和较不繁荣的国家中,社会经济地位较低的人群、在经济衰退时期,对政府干预的支持度最高。然而,收入不平等与政府干预态度之间的关系并不明确。我们通过探讨主观家庭收入、经济繁荣和收入不平等如何相互作用来影响态度,为这两个问题提供了新的见解。我们使用混合效应和国家固定效应模型,根据来自 66 个国家的数据进行拟合,结果表明,在富裕国家,收入不平等对政府干预态度具有强烈的积极影响,但在贫穷国家则没有明显影响。同时,经济繁荣的影响因不平等程度而异。当收入不平等相对较低时,它的影响很小,随着不平等程度的上升,影响减弱,当不平等程度较高时,影响不明显。这些发现与主观家庭收入对政府干预态度的影响在同时非常繁荣和高度不平等的国家中最强的结论一致。综上所述,如果不平等持续上升,特别是在富裕国家,公众对社会支出的需求最终也会增加。

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