Real-world hospital mortality of liver cirrhosis inpatients in Japan: a large-scale cohort study using a medical claims database: Prognosis of liver cirrhosis.

AIM

Prognosis of liver cirrhosis patients is poor when ascites is present and liver function is impaired, but such up-to-date information from a large-scale, real-world setting is limited in Japan. We aimed to investigate the hospital mortality of Japanese liver cirrhosis inpatients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included data on liver cirrhosis inpatients between January 2011 and September 2018 extracted from an administrative claims database. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. The 1- and 3-year cumulative survival rates were examined for liver cirrhosis etiology, Child-Pugh classification, or ascites presence/absence using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The survival up to 1 year for tolvaptan prescription/nonprescription was examined.

RESULTS

We analyzed the data of 57 769 inpatients. Survival rates did not substantially differ among etiologies, with a better prognosis for alcohol etiology and poorer prognosis for hepatitis C virus. According to the Child-Pugh classification, the 1- and 3-year survival rates were 90.2% and 75.3% for grade A, 73.5% and 53.9% for grade B, and 41.9% and 28.9% for grade C, respectively. Patients without ascites had a higher survival rate (83.2% and 67.0% at 1 and 3 years, respectively) than those with ascites (51.9% and 36.3%, respectively). Based on examining matched patients with ascites using a propensity score, prognosis was poor in general but was better at 6 months (58.1%) or similar at 1 year (47.1%) in patients prescribed tolvaptan compared to those not prescribed tolvaptan (54.8% and 47.5%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Poorer prognosis was suggested in inpatients with cirrhosis who had a worse Child-Pugh grade and ascites.