Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive UMR 5558, Université de Lyon, Université Lyon 1, CNRS, 69622 Villeurbanne, France.
Biol Lett. 2021 Mar;17(3):20200620. doi: 10.1098/rsbl.2020.0620. Epub 2021 Mar 17.
Fisher's principle states that natural selection favours an equal number of male and female births at the population level, unless there are sex differences in rearing costs or sex differences in mortality before the end of the period of parental investment. Sex differences in rearing costs should be more pronounced in low- than in high-resource settings. We, therefore, examined whether human development index and sex differences in child mortality contribute to the natural variation in human sex ratio at birth across the globe. As predicted by Fisher's principle, the proportion of male births increased with both increasing male-biased childhood mortality and level of development of each country. However, these relationships were absent after accounting for spatial autocorrelation in the residuals, which our inference is conditioned on. This work shows how the failure to account for residual spatial autocorrelation can lead to incorrect conclusions regarding support for predictions from sex allocation theory.
费希尔原理指出,在人口水平上,自然选择有利于男女出生人数相等,除非在父母投资期结束前,养育成本存在性别差异,或者死亡率存在性别差异。在资源匮乏的环境中,养育成本的性别差异应该比在资源丰富的环境中更为明显。因此,我们研究了人类发展指数和儿童死亡率的性别差异是否有助于解释全球范围内出生人口性别比例的自然变异。正如费希尔原理所预测的那样,随着男性偏倚的儿童死亡率和每个国家的发展水平的提高,男性出生比例也随之增加。然而,在考虑到残差的空间自相关后,这些关系就不存在了,我们的推断就是基于这种自相关。这项工作表明,如果不考虑残差的空间自相关,可能会导致对性别分配理论预测的支持的结论不正确。