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利用具有新目标函数和平滑约束的遗传算法优化水库运行曲线和套期保值规则:在摩洛哥的一座多用途大坝中的应用。

Optimization of reservoir operating curves and hedging rules using genetic algorithm with a new objective function and smoothing constraint: application to a multipurpose dam in Morocco.

机构信息

Ecole Mohammadia d'Ingénieurs, Mohammed V University in Rabat, Rabat, Morocco.

Ministry of Equipment, Transport, Logistics and Water, Rabat, Morocco.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2021 Mar 17;193(4):196. doi: 10.1007/s10661-021-08972-9.

Abstract

Long-term operation optimization of multipurpose reservoirs is highly important in arid and semi-arid countries challenged by climate change. This paper suggests an objective function combining two competitive shortage indicators for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization. An improved genetic algorithm including a smoothing constraint, reducing infeasible fluctuations of the operation policy, is developed to solve this problem. Operating curves were optimized jointly to hedging factors aiming at avoiding severe droughts and high damages for users. The proposed function was compared with the conventional objective function of minimizing the sum of squared deviations (SSD) between releases and demands. Different combinations of weights of the objectives linked to the Moroccan reservoir were studied. The proposed objective function yields to improved results in terms of computation requirements since it converges quicker and it leads to better supply performance. For drinking water use, the frequency of shortage was reduced by 66% and the maximum deficit by 14% whereas for irrigation the frequency of shortage was curtailed by 6%. The operating curves obtained by the developed optimization model were then compared with static operating rule curves simulated in RIBASIM. The superiority of variable optimized rule curves was proven compared with stable operating mode over time.

摘要

在气候变化挑战下的干旱和半干旱国家,多用途水库的长期运行优化非常重要。本文提出了一种将两个竞争短缺指标结合起来的目标函数,用于多目标水库运行优化。开发了一种改进的遗传算法,包括平滑约束,以减少运行策略的不可行波动。该算法旨在避免严重干旱和用户高损失,联合优化运行曲线以对冲因素。将所提出的函数与最小化释放量和需求量之间平方差和 (SSD) 的常规目标函数进行了比较。研究了与摩洛哥水库相关的目标权重的不同组合。所提出的目标函数在计算要求方面具有更好的结果,因为它收敛更快,并且可以提高供应性能。对于饮用水用途,短缺频率降低了 66%,最大亏缺减少了 14%,而对于灌溉,短缺频率降低了 6%。然后将开发的优化模型得到的运行曲线与 RIBASIM 中模拟的静态运行规则曲线进行了比较。证明了与稳定运行模式相比,可变优化规则曲线在时间上具有优越性。

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