Prognosis of Severe Low-Flow, Low-Gradient Aortic Stenosis by Stroke Volume Index and Transvalvular Flow Rate.

OBJECTIVES

This study determined whether flow state classified by stroke volume index (SVi) or transvalvular flow rate (FR) improved risk stratification of all-cause mortality, hospitalization due to heart failure, and aortic valvular interventions for patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS).

BACKGROUND

SVi is a widely accepted classification for flow state in severe low-flow, low-gradient (LFLG) AS. Recent studies suggest that FR more closely approximates true AS severity and provides more useful prognostication than SVi.

METHODS

Patients with severe AS over a 7-year period were subclassified by echocardiographic parameters. LFLG-AS was defined as severe AS (aortic valve area index [AVAi]: <0.6 cm/m), with a mean transvalvular pressure gradient of <40 mm Hg in the setting of low flow state: SVi of <35 ml/m and/or FR of <200 ml/s and subclassified into preserved (≥50%; paradoxical) or reduced (<50%; classical) left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

RESULTS

Among 621 consecutive patients with severe AS, the proportions of patients classified as LFLG-AS were different between SVi and FR (p < 0.001). Classification using SVi, FR, and LVEF was a strong predictor of the composite endpoint at the 2-year follow-up. The addition of SVi to the echocardiographic and clinical model provided significant improvement in reclassification (net reclassification improvement: 0.089; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.045 to 0.133; p = 0.04), whereas addition of FR did not (net reclassification improvement: 0.061; 95% CI: 0.016 to 0.106; p = 0.17). C-statistics indicated improved risk discrimination when AVAi, LVEF, and SVi or FR were added as predictive variables to the clinical model (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Low SVi or FR was associated with adverse cardiovascular events and showed improvement in discrimination, but only SVi, not FR, significantly improved risk reclassification compared to other conventional clinical and echocardiographic predictors. This suggests that FR is not superior to SVi in distinguishing true severe from pseudosevere forms of AS and identification of patients with LFLG-AS who have worse outcomes.