Spears Bryan M, Chapman Daniel S, Carvalho Laurence, Feld Christian K, Gessner Mark O, Piggott Jeremy J, Banin Lindsay F, Gutiérrez-Cánovas Cayetano, Solheim Anne Lyche, Richardson Jessica A, Schinegger Rafaela, Segurado Pedro, Thackeray Stephen J, Birk Sebastian
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Edinburgh EH26 0QB, UK.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Edinburgh EH26 0QB, UK; Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LA, UK.
Water Res. 2021 May 15;196:116981. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2021.116981. Epub 2021 Feb 26.
Despite advances in conceptual understanding, single-stressor abatement approaches remain common in the management of fresh waters, even though they can produce unexpected ecological responses when multiple stressors interact. Here we identify limitations restricting the development of multiple-stressor management strategies and address these, bridging theory and practice, within a novel empirical framework. Those critical limitations include that (i) monitoring schemes fall short of accounting for theory on relationships between multiple-stressor interactions and ecological responses, (ii) current empirical modelling approaches neglect the prevalence and intensity of multiple-stressor interactions, and (iii) mechanisms of stressor interactions are often poorly understood. We offer practical recommendations for the use of empirical models and experiments to predict the effects of freshwater degradation in response to changes in multiple stressors, demonstrating this approach in a case study. Drawing on our framework, we offer practical recommendations to support the development of effective management strategies in three general multiple-stressor scenarios.
尽管在概念理解方面取得了进展,但单一压力源减排方法在淡水管理中仍然很常见,尽管当多种压力源相互作用时,它们可能会产生意想不到的生态反应。在这里,我们确定了限制多压力源管理策略发展的局限性,并在一个新的实证框架内解决这些问题,将理论与实践联系起来。这些关键局限性包括:(i)监测方案未能考虑多压力源相互作用与生态反应之间关系的理论;(ii)当前的实证建模方法忽视了多压力源相互作用的普遍性和强度;(iii)压力源相互作用的机制往往了解不足。我们为使用实证模型和实验来预测淡水退化对多种压力源变化的响应提供了实用建议,并在一个案例研究中展示了这种方法。基于我们的框架,我们提供了实用建议,以支持在三种一般的多压力源情景下制定有效的管理策略。