Kim Myongjin, Kim Hongbeom, Han Youngmin, Sohn Heeju, Kang Jae Seung, Kwon Wooil, Jang Jin-Young
Department of Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul 03080, Korea.
Cancers (Basel). 2021 Mar 4;13(5):1089. doi: 10.3390/cancers13051089.
Due to the lack of appropriate tumor markers with optimal cut-off values to predict the prognosis of gallbladder cancer (GBC), this study aimed to demonstrate the relationship between prognosis and the levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), and to determine optimal thresholds. In total, 539 patients diagnosed with GBC were examined. The relationship between tumor marker levels and overall survival (OS) was analyzed. The C-tree method was used to suggest tumor marker thresholds, and multivariate analysis was conducted to identify prognostic factors for overall survival. The mean age of the patients was 65.3 years, and the 5-year overall survival rate in all patients was 68.9%. Following the C-tree method, the optimal cut-off value was set at 5 IU/mL for CEA and at 65 IU/mL for CA 19-9. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, CA 19-9 level, operative method, T stage, and N stage were significant prognostic factors for OS. Consequently, CA 19-9 had a stronger association with prognosis than CEA, and 65 IU/mL for CA 19-9 may be suggestive in evaluating the prognosis of GBC. Moreover, it could be an effective indicator for determining the surgical extent necessary and the need for adjuvant treatment.
由于缺乏具有最佳临界值来预测胆囊癌(GBC)预后的合适肿瘤标志物,本研究旨在阐明预后与癌胚抗原(CEA)和糖类抗原19-9(CA 19-9)水平之间的关系,并确定最佳阈值。总共检查了539例诊断为GBC的患者。分析了肿瘤标志物水平与总生存期(OS)之间的关系。采用C树法提出肿瘤标志物阈值,并进行多因素分析以确定总生存期的预后因素。患者的平均年龄为65.3岁,所有患者的5年总生存率为68.9%。按照C树法,CEA的最佳临界值设定为5 IU/mL,CA 19-9的最佳临界值设定为65 IU/mL。多因素分析显示,年龄、CA 19-9水平、手术方式、T分期和N分期是OS的显著预后因素。因此,CA 19-9与预后的关联比CEA更强,CA 19-9的65 IU/mL在评估GBC预后方面可能具有提示作用。此外,它可能是确定所需手术范围和辅助治疗必要性的有效指标。