Estimating milk loss based on somatic cell count at the cow and herd level.

There is a direct relationship between elevated somatic cell count (SCC) in an individual cow milk production and milk loss. This relationship has been used at the herd level to estimate an overall herd milk loss due to subclinical mastitis and to use recovery of this lost milk as a financial benefit to cover the cost of intervention strategies to improve milk quality. The objective of this study was to estimate the recoverable milk revenue on a per cow basis for herds moving from one herd average SCC level to a newer, lower level. Test-day records from 1,005,697 dairy cows in 3,741 herds between 2009 to 2019 were used. Milk yield loss for each cow in each herd on test day was estimated using a mixed effects regression equation, and then summed to estimated total herd milk loss. These herd average daily milk loss estimates were then related to the bulk tank SCC, and the distribution of underlying individual cow SCC were examined. The distributions in daily herd milk loss for various bulk tank SCC values were generated, and estimates of recoverable milk loss were generated to simulate a herd moving from their current bulk tank SCC to a new lower level. The results indicate that estimates of total herd milk yield loss vary with the distribution of cow-level SCC and parity within the herd, so it is imperative that milk loss be calculated on a per cow basis. Further, the recoverable milk loss estimates based on moving to a lower bulk tank SCC where milk loss is still occurring was relatively small compared with the traditional assumption that all milk loss would be recovered, and less than most herd owners and advisors would expect.