Normal tissue adjacent to tumor expression profile analysis developed and validated a prognostic model based on Hippo-related genes in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common malignant disease worldwide. Although the diagnosis and treatment of HCC have greatly improved in the recent years, there is still a lack of accurate methods to predict the prognosis of patients. Evidence has shown that Hippo signaling in tissues adjacent to HCC plays a significant role in HCC development. In the present study, we aimed to construct a model based on the expression of Hippo-related genes (HRGs) in tissues adjacent to HCC to predict the prognosis of HCC patients.

METHODS

Gene expression data of paired normal tissues adjacent to HCC (PNTAH) and clinical information were obtained from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases. The HRG signature was constructed using four canonical Hippo-related pathways. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen survival-related HRGs. LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to construct the prognostic model. The true and false positive rates of the model were confirmed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

The prognostic model was constructed based on the expression levels of five HRGs (NF2, MYC, BIRC3, CSNK1E, and MINK1) in PNTAH. The mortality rate of HCC patients increased as the risk score determined by the model increased. Furthermore, the risk score was found to be an independent risk factor for the survival of patients. ROC analysis showed that the prognostic model had a better predictive value than the other conventional clinical parameters. Moreover, the reliability of the prognostic model was confirmed in TCGA-LIHC cohort. A nomogram was generated to predict patient survival. An exploration of the predictive value of the model in HCC tissues indicated that the model is PNTAH-specific.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a prognostic model based on the expression levels of five HRGs in PNTAH, and this model should be helpful in predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC.