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气候变化和人为的食物操纵相互作用,改变了大型食草动物在其海拔分布范围极限处的分布。

Climate change and anthropogenic food manipulation interact in shifting the distribution of a large herbivore at its altitudinal range limit.

机构信息

Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.

Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Apr 7;11(1):7600. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-86720-2.

Abstract

Ungulates in alpine ecosystems are constrained by winter harshness through resource limitation and direct mortality from weather extremes. However, little empirical evidence has definitively established how current climate change and other anthropogenic modifications of resource availability affect ungulate winter distribution, especially at their range limits. Here, we used a combination of historical (1997-2002) and contemporary (2012-2015) Eurasian roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) relocation datasets that span changes in snowpack characteristics and two levels of supplemental feeding to compare and forecast probability of space use at the species' altitudinal range limit. Scarcer snow cover in the contemporary period interacted with the augmented feeding site distribution to increase the elevation of winter range limits, and we predict this trend will continue under climate change. Moreover, roe deer have shifted from historically using feeding sites primarily under deep snow conditions to contemporarily using them under a wider range of snow conditions as their availability has increased. Combined with scarcer snow cover during December, January, and April, this trend has reduced inter-annual variability in space use patterns in these months. These spatial responses to climate- and artificial resource-provisioning shifts evidence the importance of these changing factors in shaping large herbivore spatial distribution and, consequently, ecosystem dynamics.

摘要

高山生态系统中的有蹄类动物受到资源限制和极端天气直接导致的死亡率的限制,无法应对冬季的严酷性。然而,目前还没有确凿的证据表明气候变化和其他人为改变资源可用性如何影响有蹄类动物的冬季分布,尤其是在它们的分布范围的极限处。在这里,我们结合了历史(1997-2002 年)和当代(2012-2015 年)欧亚狍鹿(Capreolus capreolus)再定位数据集,这些数据跨越了积雪特征的变化和两种补充喂养水平,以比较和预测物种海拔分布范围极限的空间利用概率。在当代时期,较稀少的积雪覆盖与增加的补充喂养点分布相互作用,增加了冬季范围极限的海拔,我们预测这种趋势将在气候变化下继续。此外,狍鹿已经从历史上主要在深雪条件下使用喂养点,转变为在可用性增加的情况下在更广泛的雪条件下使用它们。结合 12 月、1 月和 4 月积雪稀少的情况,这种趋势减少了这些月份空间利用模式的年际变化。这些对气候和人工资源供应变化的空间响应表明,这些不断变化的因素在塑造大型食草动物的空间分布以及生态系统动态方面具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4f1c/8027592/dab26f07a7ec/41598_2021_86720_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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