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慢性肾脏病患者感染 SARS-CoV-2 的临床病程和预测致死结局的风险因素。

Clinical course and predictive risk factors for fatal outcome of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with chronic kidney disease.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Hematology and Oncology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.

4th Department of Internal Medicine, Klinikum Leverkusen gGmbH, Leverkusen, Germany.

出版信息

Infection. 2021 Aug;49(4):725-737. doi: 10.1007/s15010-021-01597-7. Epub 2021 Apr 13.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The ongoing pandemic caused by the novel severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has stressed health systems worldwide. Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) seem to be more prone to a severe course of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) due to comorbidities and an altered immune system. The study's aim was to identify factors predicting mortality among SARS-CoV-2-infected patients with CKD.

METHODS

We analyzed 2817 SARS-CoV-2-infected patients enrolled in the Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected patients and identified 426 patients with pre-existing CKD. Group comparisons were performed via Chi-squared test. Using univariate and multivariable logistic regression, predictive factors for mortality were identified.

RESULTS

Comparative analyses to patients without CKD revealed a higher mortality (140/426, 32.9% versus 354/2391, 14.8%). Higher age could be confirmed as a demographic predictor for mortality in CKD patients (> 85 years compared to 15-65 years, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 6.49, 95% CI 1.27-33.20, p = 0.025). We further identified markedly elevated lactate dehydrogenase (> 2 × upper limit of normal, aOR 23.21, 95% CI 3.66-147.11, p < 0.001), thrombocytopenia (< 120,000/µl, aOR 11.66, 95% CI 2.49-54.70, p = 0.002), anemia (Hb < 10 g/dl, aOR 3.21, 95% CI 1.17-8.82, p = 0.024), and C-reactive protein (≥ 30 mg/l, aOR 3.44, 95% CI 1.13-10.45, p = 0.029) as predictors, while renal replacement therapy was not related to mortality (aOR 1.15, 95% CI 0.68-1.93, p = 0.611).

CONCLUSION

The identified predictors include routinely measured and universally available parameters. Their assessment might facilitate risk stratification in this highly vulnerable cohort as early as at initial medical evaluation for SARS-CoV-2.

摘要

目的

由新型严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)引起的持续大流行使世界各地的卫生系统承受了巨大压力。患有慢性肾脏病(CKD)的患者由于合并症和免疫系统改变,似乎更容易出现冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的严重病程。本研究旨在确定预测 SARS-CoV-2 感染合并 CKD 患者死亡率的因素。

方法

我们分析了纳入 Lean European Open Survey on SARS-CoV-2-infected patients 的 2817 例 SARS-CoV-2 感染患者,其中识别出 426 例存在预先存在的 CKD 的患者。通过卡方检验进行组间比较。使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归,确定死亡率的预测因素。

结果

与无 CKD 的患者相比,CKD 患者的死亡率更高(140/426,32.9%比 354/2391,14.8%)。较高的年龄可被确认为 CKD 患者死亡率的人口统计学预测因素(>85 岁比 15-65 岁,调整后的优势比(aOR)6.49,95%CI 1.27-33.20,p=0.025)。我们进一步发现乳酸脱氢酶显著升高(>2×正常值上限,aOR 23.21,95%CI 3.66-147.11,p<0.001)、血小板减少症(<120,000/µl,aOR 11.66,95%CI 2.49-54.70,p=0.002)、贫血(Hb<10 g/dl,aOR 3.21,95%CI 1.17-8.82,p=0.024)和 C 反应蛋白(≥30 mg/l,aOR 3.44,95%CI 1.13-10.45,p=0.029)是预测因素,而肾脏替代治疗与死亡率无关(aOR 1.15,95%CI 0.68-1.93,p=0.611)。

结论

所确定的预测因素包括常规测量和普遍可用的参数。在对 SARS-CoV-2 进行初始医学评估时,对这些高危人群进行评估可能有助于进行风险分层。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f065/8316213/c4ee8335c657/15010_2021_1597_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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