Plasticity, instability and canalization: is the phenotypic variation in seedlings of sclerophyll oaks consistent with the environmental unpredictability of Mediterranean ecosystems?

•   Evergreen oaks from the Mediterranean basin exhibit a conservative resource-use strategy based on a reduced expression of phenotypic variation (i.e. canalization). We hypothesized that genetic variation across closely related species is more canalized than the response to environmental variation. •   Seedlings of Quercus ilex and Q. coccifera, two important oak species from the Mediterranean basin that belong to the same subgenus and section, were grown in contrasted light and nutrient environments following a factorial design. Phenotypic variation was explored in a total of 75 variables including photosynthetic capacity, nutrient allocation, allometric relationships and crown architecture. •   Path analysis showed that phenotypic variation was not significantly affected by differences between species but by those between and within environments, which are argued to be primarily linked to phenotypic plasticity and developmental instability, respectively. This finding is interpreted as evidence of genetic canalization across species. •   The similar importance of plasticity and instability as sources of phenotypic variation and the high degree of genetic canalization are consistent with the expected role of the environmental unpredictability of Mediterranean ecosystems in shaping the developmental patterns of these two species.