Centre Universitaire des Maladies Rénales, CHU de Caen, Caen, France.
U1086 INSERM, ANTICIPE, Centre Régional de Lutte contre le Cancer, François Baclesse, Caen, France.
Am J Nephrol. 2021;52(4):318-327. doi: 10.1159/000515472. Epub 2021 Apr 27.
There is limited information on the trends of peritoneal dialysis (PD) technique survival over time. This study aimed to estimate the effect of calendar time on technique survival, transfer to hemodialysis (HD) (and the individual causes of transfer), and patient survival.
This retrospective, multicenter study, based on data from the French Language Peritoneal Dialysis Registry, analyzed 14,673 patients who initiated PD in France between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016. Adjusted Cox regressions with robust variance were used to examine the probability of a composite end point of either death or transfer to HD, death, and transfer to HD, accounting for the nonlinear impact of PD start time.
There were 10,201 (69.5%) cases of PD cessation over the study period: 5,495 (37.4%) deaths and 4,706 (32.1%) transfers to HD. The rate of PD cessation due to death or transfer to HD decreased over time (PR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.95-0.97). Compared to 2009-2010, starting PD between 2005 and 2008 or 2011 and 2016 was strongly associated with a lower rate of transfer to HD (PR 0.88, 95% CI: 0.81-0.96, and PR 0.91, 95% CI: 0.84-0.99, respectively), mostly due to a decline in the rate of infection-related transfers to HD (PR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.94-0.98).
Rates of the composite end point of either death or transfer to HD, death, and transfer to HD have decreased in recent decades. The decline in transfers to HD rates, observed since 2011, is mainly the result of a significant decline in infection-related transfers.
关于腹膜透析(PD)技术随时间推移的趋势,目前信息有限。本研究旨在评估时间变化对技术生存、转为血液透析(HD)(以及个别转归原因)和患者生存的影响。
本回顾性、多中心研究基于法国腹膜透析登记处的数据,分析了 2005 年 1 月 1 日至 2016 年 12 月 31 日期间在法国开始 PD 的 14673 例患者。使用调整后的 Cox 回归模型,结合稳健方差,检验复合终点(死亡或转 HD,死亡,以及转 HD)的概率,考虑 PD 起始时间的非线性影响。
在研究期间,有 10201 例(69.5%)PD 停止:5495 例(37.4%)死亡和 4706 例(32.1%)转 HD。PD 因死亡或转 HD 停止的比例随时间降低(PR0.96,95%CI:0.95-0.97)。与 2009-2010 年相比,2005-2008 年或 2011-2016 年开始 PD 与较低的 HD 转归率强烈相关(PR0.88,95%CI:0.81-0.96 和 PR0.91,95%CI:0.84-0.99),主要是由于感染相关的 HD 转归率降低(PR0.96,95%CI:0.94-0.98)。
在最近几十年,复合终点(死亡或转 HD、死亡、以及转 HD)的发生率有所下降。自 2011 年以来,HD 转归率的下降主要是由于感染相关转归的显著下降。