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临床因素对 COVID-19 严重程度的影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Clinical determinants of the severity of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

School of Stomatology, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

Department of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, Illinois, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 May 3;16(5):e0250602. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250602. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to systematically identify the possible risk factors responsible for severe cases.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of science and Cochrane Library for epidemiological studies of confirmed COVID-19, which include information about clinical characteristics and severity of patients' disease. We analyzed the potential associations between clinical characteristics and severe cases.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 41 eligible studies including 21060 patients with COVID-19. Severe cases were potentially associated with advanced age (Standard Mean Difference (SMD) = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.34-2.12), male gender (Odds Ratio (OR) = 1.51, 95% CI:1.33-1.71), obesity (OR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.44-2.46), history of smoking (OR = 1.40, 95% CI:1.06-1.85), hypertension (OR = 2.42, 95% CI: 2.03-2.88), diabetes (OR = 2.40, 95% CI: 1.98-2.91), coronary heart disease (OR: 2.87, 95% CI: 2.22-3.71), chronic kidney disease (CKD) (OR = 2.97, 95% CI: 1.63-5.41), cerebrovascular disease (OR = 2.47, 95% CI: 1.54-3.97), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR = 2.88, 95% CI: 1.89-4.38), malignancy (OR = 2.60, 95% CI: 2.00-3.40), and chronic liver disease (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.06-2.17). Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (OR = 39.59, 95% CI: 19.99-78.41), shock (OR = 21.50, 95% CI: 10.49-44.06) and acute kidney injury (AKI) (OR = 8.84, 95% CI: 4.34-18.00) were most likely to prevent recovery. In summary, patients with severe conditions had a higher rate of comorbidities and complications than patients with non-severe conditions.

CONCLUSION

Patients who were male, with advanced age, obesity, a history of smoking, hypertension, diabetes, malignancy, coronary heart disease, hypertension, chronic liver disease, COPD, or CKD are more likely to develop severe COVID-19 symptoms. ARDS, shock and AKI were thought to be the main hinderances to recovery.

摘要

目的

我们旨在系统地确定导致重症病例的可能危险因素。

方法

我们检索了 PubMed、Embase、Web of Science 和 Cochrane Library 中关于确诊 COVID-19 的流行病学研究,其中包括有关患者疾病临床特征和严重程度的信息。我们分析了临床特征与重症病例之间的潜在关联。

结果

我们共确定了 41 项符合条件的研究,其中包括 21060 例 COVID-19 患者。重症病例可能与高龄(标准均数差(SMD)= 1.73,95%置信区间:1.34-2.12)、男性(优势比(OR)= 1.51,95%置信区间:1.33-1.71)、肥胖(OR = 1.89,95%置信区间:1.44-2.46)、吸烟史(OR = 1.40,95%置信区间:1.06-1.85)、高血压(OR = 2.42,95%置信区间:2.03-2.88)、糖尿病(OR = 2.40,95%置信区间:1.98-2.91)、冠心病(OR:2.87,95%置信区间:2.22-3.71)、慢性肾脏病(CKD)(OR = 2.97,95%置信区间:1.63-5.41)、脑血管病(OR = 2.47,95%置信区间:1.54-3.97)、慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)(OR = 2.88,95%置信区间:1.89-4.38)、恶性肿瘤(OR = 2.60,95%置信区间:2.00-3.40)和慢性肝病(OR = 1.51,95%置信区间:1.06-2.17)有关。急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)(OR = 39.59,95%置信区间:19.99-78.41)、休克(OR = 21.50,95%置信区间:10.49-44.06)和急性肾损伤(AKI)(OR = 8.84,95%置信区间:4.34-18.00)最有可能阻止康复。总之,重症患者的合并症和并发症发生率高于非重症患者。

结论

男性、高龄、肥胖、吸烟史、高血压、糖尿病、恶性肿瘤、冠心病、高血压、慢性肝病、COPD 或 CKD 的患者更有可能出现严重的 COVID-19 症状。ARDS、休克和 AKI 被认为是康复的主要障碍。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1103/8092779/d391d12e1c0d/pone.0250602.g001.jpg

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