老年和超高龄急性心力衰竭患者的死亡模式:来自日本心力衰竭注册登记研究的启示。
Mode of death in elderly and super-elderly patients with acute heart failure: Insights from Japanese heart failure registry.
机构信息
Department of Cardiology, Hirakata Kohsai Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
Department of Internal medicine, Osaka Hospital, Osaka, Japan.
出版信息
Clin Cardiol. 2021 Jun;44(6):848-856. doi: 10.1002/clc.23619. Epub 2021 May 8.
BACKGROUND
In Japan, both the prevalence of the elderly and super-elderly and those of acute heart failure (AHF) have been increasing rapidly.
METHODS
This registry was a prospective multicenter cohort, which enrolled a total of 1253 patients with AHF. In this study, 1117 patients' follow-up data were available and were categorized into three groups according to age: <75 years old (nonelderly), 75-84 years old (elderly), and ≥ 85 years old (super-elderly). The endpoint was defined as all-cause death and each mode of death after discharge during the 3-years follow-up period.
RESULTS
Based on the Kaplan-Meier analysis, a gradually increased risk of all-cause death according to age was found. Among the three groups, the proportion of HF death was of similar trend; however, the proportion of infection death was higher in elderly and super-elderly patients. After adjusting for potentially confounding effects using the Cox and Fine-Gray model, the hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause death increased significantly in elderly and super-elderly patients (HR, 2.60; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.93-3.54 and HR, 5.04; 95% CI, 3.72-6.92, respectively), when compared with nonelderly patients. The highest sub-distribution HR in detailed mode of death was infection death in elderly and super-elderly patients (HR, 4.25; 95% CI, 1.75-10.33 and HR, 10.10; 95% CI, 3.78-27.03, respectively).
CONCLUSIONS
In this population, the risk of all-cause death was found to increase in elderly and super-elderly. Elderly patients and especially super-elderly patients with AHF were at a higher risk for noncardiovascular death, especially infection death.
背景
在日本,老年人和超高龄人群的患病率以及急性心力衰竭(AHF)的患病率都在迅速增加。
方法
本研究为前瞻性多中心队列研究,共纳入 1253 例 AHF 患者。本研究中,1117 例患者的随访数据可用,并根据年龄分为三组:<75 岁(非老年)、75-84 岁(老年)和≥85 岁(超高龄)。终点定义为 3 年随访期间的全因死亡和出院后每种死亡模式。
结果
根据 Kaplan-Meier 分析,发现全因死亡风险随年龄逐渐增加。在三组中,心力衰竭死亡的比例呈相似趋势;然而,老年和超高龄患者感染死亡的比例更高。使用 Cox 和 Fine-Gray 模型调整潜在混杂因素后,老年和超高龄患者的全因死亡风险比(HR)显著增加(HR,2.60;95%置信区间[CI],1.93-3.54 和 HR,5.04;95%CI,3.72-6.92),与非老年患者相比。在详细的死亡模式中,最高的亚分布 HR 是老年和超高龄患者的感染死亡(HR,4.25;95%CI,1.75-10.33 和 HR,10.10;95%CI,3.78-27.03)。
结论
在本人群中,发现老年和超高龄患者的全因死亡风险增加。老年和超高龄 AHF 患者,尤其是超高龄患者,非心血管死亡风险更高,尤其是感染死亡风险更高。