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基于危险的持续时间模型对年轻酒精中毒驾驶员的制动转换时间进行建模。

Modelling brake transition time of young alcohol-impaired drivers using hazard-based duration models.

机构信息

Transportation Systems Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Bombay Powai, Mumbai, 400 076, India.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2021 Jul;157:106169. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106169. Epub 2021 May 6.

Abstract

Braking performance of drivers is a crucial factor in evaluating the collision patterns and implementing road safety measures. Further, alcohol is known to impair driving control. The present study aims to examine the influence of a comprehensive range of Blood Alcohol Concentration (BAC) levels (0%, 0.03 %, 0.05 % and 0.08 %) on brake transition times of drivers. As young drivers show significantly higher crash risks compared to the experienced drivers, fifty-four young Indian drivers in the age group of 21-25 years (forty males and fourteen females) participated in the driving simulator experiments. The study adopted the framework of a within-subjects design, where each driver encountered rural and urban driving scenarios in a counterbalanced order, during experimental driving at each of the four BAC levels. Their brake transition times were estimated with respect to sudden pedestrian crossing events. Weibull Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) models with shared frailty were developed for quantifying the effects of BAC levels along with driver attributes on brake transition time. Preliminary analysis showed significant main effects of BAC (p < 0.001) and driving environment (p = 0.002) on brake transition time; however, their interaction effect was not significant (p = 0.485). The models revealed that 0.03 %, 0.05 % and 0.08 % BACs significantly reduced the brake transition times by 16 %, 28 % and 52 % in rural driving environment, and by 23 %, 37 % and 53 % in urban driving environment, compared to 0% BAC. The study outcomes may find application in assisting collision warning systems which take into account the braking behaviour of drivers.

摘要

驾驶员的制动性能是评估碰撞模式和实施道路安全措施的关键因素。此外,酒精已知会损害驾驶控制。本研究旨在研究一系列综合的血液酒精浓度(BAC)水平(0%、0.03%、0.05%和 0.08%)对驾驶员制动转换时间的影响。由于年轻驾驶员与有经验的驾驶员相比,发生碰撞的风险显著更高,因此 54 名年龄在 21-25 岁的年轻印度驾驶员(40 名男性和 14 名女性)参加了驾驶模拟器实验。该研究采用了被试内设计的框架,每个驾驶员在每个 BAC 水平下以相反的顺序分别遇到农村和城市驾驶场景,进行实验性驾驶。他们的制动转换时间是根据突然出现的行人穿越事件来估算的。采用共享脆弱性的威布尔加速失效时间(AFT)模型来量化 BAC 水平以及驾驶员属性对制动转换时间的影响。初步分析显示 BAC(p<0.001)和驾驶环境(p=0.002)对制动转换时间有显著的主效应;然而,它们的交互作用不显著(p=0.485)。模型表明,0.03%、0.05%和 0.08%的 BAC 在农村驾驶环境中分别显著减少了 16%、28%和 52%的制动转换时间,在城市驾驶环境中分别减少了 23%、37%和 53%,而 0%的 BAC 则减少了制动转换时间。研究结果可能有助于辅助碰撞预警系统,这些系统考虑到了驾驶员的制动行为。

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