Department of Medical Oncology, Institut Curie, Saint-Cloud and Paris, France.
Department of Biostatistics, Institut Curie, Saint Cloud, France.
ESMO Open. 2021 Jun;6(3):100150. doi: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2021.100150. Epub 2021 May 10.
Leptomeningeal metastasis (LM) is a rare complication of metastatic breast cancer (MBC), with high morbidity/mortality rates. Our study aimed to describe the largest-to-date real-life population of MBC patients treated with intrathecal (IT) therapy and to evaluate prognostic models.
The Epidemiological Strategy and Medical Economics (ESME) MBC database (NCT03275311) includes all consecutive patients who have initiated treatment for MBC since 2008. Overall survival (OS) of patients treated with IT therapy was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic models were constructed using Cox proportional hazards models. Performance was evaluated using C-index and calibration plots.
Of the 22 266 patients included in the database between 2008 and 2016, 312 received IT therapy and were selected for our analysis. Compared with non-IT-treated patients, IT-treated patients were younger at MBC relapse (median age: 52 years versus 61 years) and more often had lobular histology (23.4% versus 12.7%) or triple-negative subtype (24.7% versus 13.3%) (all P < 0.001). Median OS was 4.5 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.8-5.6] and 1-year survival rate was 25.6%. Significant prognostic factors associated with poorer outcome on multivariable analysis were triple-negative subtype (hazard ratio 1.81, 95% CI 1.32-2.47), treatment line ≥3 (hazard ratio 1.88, 95% CI 1.30-2.73), ≥3 other metastatic sites (hazard ratio 1.33, 95% CI 1.01-1.74) and IT cytarabine or thiotepa versus methotrexate (hazard ratio 1.68, 95% CI 1.28-2.22), while concomitant systemic therapy was associated with better OS (hazard ratio 0.47, 95% CI 0.35-0.62) (all P < 0.001). We validated two previously published prognostic scores, the Curie score and the Breast-graded prognostic assessment, both with C-index of 0.57.
MBC patients with LM treated with IT therapy have a poor prognosis. We could identify a subgroup of patients with better prognosis, when concomitant systemic therapy and IT methotrexate were used.
脑膜转移(LM)是转移性乳腺癌(MBC)的一种罕见并发症,发病率/死亡率较高。本研究旨在描述迄今为止最大的接受鞘内(IT)治疗的 MBC 患者的真实人群,并评估预后模型。
Epidemiological Strategy and Medical Economics(ESME)MBC 数据库(NCT03275311)包括自 2008 年以来开始接受 MBC 治疗的所有连续患者。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法估计接受 IT 治疗的患者的总生存(OS)。使用 Cox 比例风险模型构建预后模型。使用 C 指数和校准图评估性能。
在 2008 年至 2016 年间纳入数据库的 22266 例患者中,有 312 例接受 IT 治疗并被纳入本分析。与未接受 IT 治疗的患者相比,接受 IT 治疗的患者在 MBC 复发时年龄更小(中位年龄:52 岁比 61 岁),且更常具有小叶状组织学(23.4%比 12.7%)或三阴性亚型(24.7%比 13.3%)(均 P<0.001)。中位 OS 为 4.5 个月[95%置信区间(CI)3.8-5.6],1 年生存率为 25.6%。多变量分析中与较差预后相关的显著预后因素包括三阴性亚型(风险比 1.81,95%CI 1.32-2.47)、治疗线数≥3(风险比 1.88,95%CI 1.30-2.73)、≥3 个其他转移部位(风险比 1.33,95%CI 1.01-1.74)和 IT 阿糖胞苷或噻替哌与甲氨蝶呤(风险比 1.68,95%CI 1.28-2.22),而同时接受系统治疗与更好的 OS 相关(风险比 0.47,95%CI 0.35-0.62)(均 P<0.001)。我们验证了两个先前发表的预后评分,即 Curie 评分和乳腺分级预后评估,两者的 C 指数均为 0.57。
接受 IT 治疗的 LM 转移性乳腺癌患者预后较差。当同时使用系统治疗和 IT 甲氨蝶呤时,我们可以确定预后较好的患者亚组。