Unit of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
The Danish Twin Registry, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Hum Reprod. 2021 Jul 19;36(8):2309-2320. doi: 10.1093/humrep/deab077.
Is fecundity, measured as self-reported time to first pregnancy (TTP), a marker for subsequent health and survival?
Long TTP was a marker for increased mortality among women and higher hospitalization rates for both women and men.
Poor semen quality has been linked to increased mortality and morbidity from a wide range of diseases. Associations among fecundity, health and survival among women are still uncertain and studies on actual measures of fecundity and health outcomes are rare.
STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: We performed a prospective cohort study of 7825 women and 6279 men, aged 18 and above with measures on first TTP, who participated in one of the Danish nation-wide twin surveys in 1994 (twins born 1953-1976) and 1998 (twins born 1931-1952). They were followed-up for mortality and hospital admissions from the interview until 2018.
PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Twins were identified in the Danish Twin Registry and linked to Danish registers. TTP was restricted to the first pregnancy as a categorical outcome with cut-off points at 2, 10 and 18 months. We analysed the association between TTP and survival using a Cox proportional hazards model estimating hazards ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Fine-Gray survival models were used to estimate sub-hazard ratios for specific causes of death allowing for competing risks. Using negative binomial regression, we estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CIs for all-cause and cause-specific hospitalizations. All analyses were stratified by sex and adjusted for age at interview, birth cohorts, age at first attempt to become pregnant, smoking, years in school and BMI.
In the total study population, 49.9% of women and 52.7% of men reported a TTP of less than 2 months, 30.8% of women and 29.6% of men reported a TTP of 2-9 months, 6.6% of women and 5.7% of men reported a TTP of 10-17 months, and 13.3% of women and 12.0% of men reported a TTP of 18 months or more. Among 1305 deaths, we found a higher mortality for women (HR = 1.46; 95% CI 1.15, 1.87) with a TTP of ≥18 months relative to those with a TTP of <2 months, while the highest mortality was indicated for men with a TTP of 10-17 months (HR = 1.31; 95% CI 0.98, 1.74). Among 53 799 hospitalizations, we found an increased hospitalization rate among women (HR = 1.21; 95% CI 1.0-1.41) and men (HR = 1.16; 95% CI 1.00-1.35) with a TTP of ≥18 months, and for men with a TTP of 2-9 months (HR = 1.14; 95% CI 1.01-1.30). A dose-response relationship was found for women regarding both mortality (P = 0.022) and hospitalizations (P = 0.018). Impaired fecundity was associated with a wide range of diseases and some causes of death, indicating a multi-factorial causal influence on fecundity, especially among women.
LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: A major limitation was that fecundity depends on both partners, which was not considered in this study. Moreover, we could not obtain information on a number of potential confounders.
Fecundity seems positively correlated with overall health and may be a universal marker of future health and survival. These results add knowledge to the limited findings showing that reduced fecundity in women and poor semen quality in men may reflect worse health and a shorter life, particularly among women.
STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was funded by NIH grant HD096468 (M.L.E., T.K.J. and R.L.J.). The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
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生育力,以自我报告的首次妊娠时间(TTP)衡量,是否是后续健康和生存的标志?
长 TTP 是女性死亡率增加和女性及男性住院率升高的标志。
精液质量差与多种疾病的死亡率和发病率增加有关。女性生育力、健康和生存之间的关联仍不确定,并且很少有关于实际生育力和健康结果的研究。
研究设计、大小和持续时间:我们对 7825 名女性和 6279 名男性进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,这些女性和男性年龄在 18 岁及以上,他们参加了丹麦全国性双胞胎调查之一(1994 年出生的双胞胎,1953-1976 年出生;1998 年出生的双胞胎,1931-1952 年出生)。他们的随访时间从访谈开始到 2018 年的死亡和住院情况。
参与者/材料、设置、方法:双胞胎在丹麦双胞胎登记处中被识别,并与丹麦登记处相关联。TTP 被限制为首次妊娠的分类结果,截断值为 2、10 和 18 个月。我们使用 Cox 比例风险模型分析 TTP 与生存之间的关联,使用危险比(HR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)进行估计。Fine-Gray 生存模型用于估计特定死亡原因的亚危险比,允许竞争风险。使用负二项回归,我们估计了所有原因和特定原因的住院的发病率比(IRR)及其 95%CI。所有分析均按性别分层,并调整了访谈时的年龄、出生队列、首次尝试怀孕的年龄、吸烟、受教育年限和 BMI。
在总研究人群中,49.9%的女性和 52.7%的男性报告 TTP 小于 2 个月,30.8%的女性和 29.6%的男性报告 TTP 为 2-9 个月,6.6%的女性和 5.7%的男性报告 TTP 为 10-17 个月,13.3%的女性和 12.0%的男性报告 TTP 为 18 个月或更长时间。在 1305 例死亡中,我们发现 TTP≥18 个月的女性死亡率更高(HR=1.46;95%CI 1.15,1.87),而 TTP 为 10-17 个月的男性死亡率最高(HR=1.31;95%CI 0.98,1.74)。在 53799 例住院中,我们发现 TTP≥18 个月的女性(HR=1.21;95%CI 1.0-1.41)和男性(HR=1.16;95%CI 1.00-1.35)的住院率增加,而 TTP 为 2-9 个月的男性(HR=1.14;95%CI 1.01-1.30)也是如此。我们发现女性的死亡率(P=0.022)和住院率(P=0.018)与 TTP 之间存在剂量-反应关系。生育力受损与广泛的疾病和一些死亡原因有关,这表明生育力受到多种因素的影响,尤其是女性。
局限性、谨慎的原因:一个主要的局限性是生育力取决于双方,而这在本研究中并未考虑。此外,我们无法获得许多潜在混杂因素的信息。
生育力似乎与整体健康状况呈正相关,可能是未来健康和生存的普遍标志。这些结果增加了有限的发现,表明女性生育力降低和男性精液质量差可能反映了更差的健康状况和更短的寿命,尤其是在女性中。
研究资金/利益冲突:本研究由 NIH 资助 HD096468(M.L.E.、T.K.J. 和 R.L.J.)。作者声明他们没有利益冲突。
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