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能源消耗对环境质量的影响:来自 MINT 国家的经验证据。

The impact of energy consumption on environmental quality: empirical evidence from the MINT countries.

机构信息

School of Business and Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, UPM, 43400, Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.

School of Business Education, Federal College of Education (Technical), Potiskum, Yobe State, Nigeria.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Oct;28(38):54117-54136. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-14407-2. Epub 2021 May 27.

Abstract

Rapid increases in energy consumption and economic growth over the past three decades are considered the driving force behind rising environmental degradation, which remain a threat to people and healthy environment. This study investigates the impact of energy consumption on environmental quality in the MINT countries using a panel PMG/ARDL modelling technique, and the Granger causality test spanning from 1971 to 2017. The empirical results confirm the existence of long-run nexus among the variables employed. The results also reveal that economic growth, energy consumption and bio-capacity have a positive and statistically significant effect on environmental degradation during the long run period. We find that a 1% increase in primary energy consumption leads to 0.4172% increase in environmental deterioration in the long-run period, but it is insignificant in the short run. This implies that energy consumption deteriorates environmental quality through a negative effect of ecological footprint. The result also suggests that as MINT countries increase the use of energy to accelerate pace of economic growth, environmental quality would deteriorate through increased ecological footprints. The coefficient of the error correction term (ect) is negative and significant (- 0.2306), suggesting that ecological footprint, a measure of environmental degradation would converge to its long-run equilibrium in the MINT region by 23.06% speed of adjustment every year due to contribution of economic growth, energy consumption, urbanization and biocapacity. The Granger non-causality test results reveal a unidirectional causal relationship from economic growth, energy consumption, and urbanization to ecological footprint and from economic growth to biocapacity. The results further show bi-directional causality between biocapacity and ecological footprint as well as between biocapacity and economic growth. Moreover, urbanization causes economic growth and biocapacity Granger-causes urbanization. Based on these findings, policy implications are adequately discussed.

摘要

在过去的三十年中,能源消耗和经济增长的快速增长被认为是环境恶化的主要驱动力,这仍然对人类和健康的环境构成威胁。本研究使用面板 PMG/ARDL 建模技术和 1971 年至 2017 年的格兰杰因果检验,调查了能源消耗对 MINT 国家环境质量的影响。实证结果证实了所使用变量之间存在长期关联。结果还表明,在长期内,经济增长、能源消耗和生物容量对环境恶化具有积极和统计学意义的影响。我们发现,在长期内,一次能源消耗增加 1%会导致环境恶化增加 0.4172%,但在短期内并不显著。这意味着能源消耗通过生态足迹的负面影响恶化了环境质量。结果还表明,随着 MINT 国家增加能源使用以加速经济增长,环境质量将因生态足迹的增加而恶化。误差修正项(ect)的系数为负且显著(-0.2306),这表明生态足迹作为环境恶化的衡量标准,由于经济增长、能源消耗、城市化和生物容量的贡献,每年以 23.06%的调整速度向其长期均衡收敛。格兰杰非因果关系检验结果表明,经济增长、能源消耗和城市化与生态足迹之间存在从经济增长、能源消耗和城市化到生态足迹的单向因果关系,以及从经济增长到生物容量的单向因果关系。此外,生物容量和生态足迹以及生物容量和经济增长之间存在双向因果关系。此外,城市化导致经济增长和生物容量格兰杰因果关系城市化。基于这些发现,充分讨论了政策含义。

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