Epidemiology and Biostatistics Institute, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China; State Key Laboratory of Experimental Hematology, National Clinical Research Center for Blood Diseases, Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Tianjin, China.
Epidemiology and Biostatistics Institute, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Ann Palliat Med. 2021 May;10(5):5231-5243. doi: 10.21037/apm-20-2538. Epub 2021 May 12.
In recent years, the hospital admission rate of non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients has exhibited an increasing trend, and a forthcoming transition from ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) to NSTEMI has been observed in China. The association between serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) within 12 months after discharge among patients with NSTEMI remains unclear.
A total of 1,357 consecutively admitted NSTEMI patients were from the TAMI cohort. The patients' baseline demographic and clinical information were collected, and follow-up was carried out for 12 months. The primary outcome was composite MACEs consisting of all-cause death, hospital admission for unstable angina, hospital admission for heart failure, non fatal recurrent myocardial infarction, and target lesion revascularization (TLR). We adopted a Cox proportional hazard model to analyze the effect of NT-proBNP on MACEs and quantified the added prognostic value of NT-proBNP on the Global Registry of Acute CoronaryEvents (GRACE) risk score using the Harrell C-index, NRI, and IDI.
The overall average follow-up period was 313 days. In total, 211 (15.55%) patients suffered from at least one MACE, and 97 patients were lost to follow-up, with a median follow-up time of 147 days. As the NT-proBNP level increased, a significant uptrend in the incidence of composite MACEs, all-cause death, and heart failure was observed. The multivariable Cox model revealed that NT-proBNP was an independent risk factor for composite MACEs [medium- vs. low-, HR: 2.19 (1.45-3.32), P=0.0002]; [high- vs. low-, HR: 3.07 (1.78-5.29), P<0.0001], as well as for all-cause death and heart failure. Subgroup analysis indicated that NT-proBNP was a robust prognostic biomarker, and the prognostic value was more evident for patients older than 60 years and whose LVEF was less than 40%. NT-proBNP (log-scale) was moderately correlated with the GRACE score (r=0.58, P<0.0001). The Harrell C-index of NT-proBNP combined with the GRACE score was 0.7715, which was higher than that of the GRACE score alone (0.7149) for predicting composite MACEs, and this improvement was verified by significant IDI (0.064, 95% CI: 0.027-0.106).
NT-proBNP is a robust long-term prognostic biomarker for patients diagnosed with NSTEMI, especially for older patients and those with impaired cardiac ejection function. Combined usage of NT-proBNP levels with the GRACE score might help identify a subset of NSTEMI patients at a particularly high risk of MACEs 12 months after discharge.
近年来,非 ST 段抬高型心肌梗死(NSTEMI)患者的住院率呈上升趋势,中国 STEMI 向 NSTEMI 的转变即将到来。NSTEMI 患者出院后 12 个月内血清 N 端脑利钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)与主要不良心脏事件(MACE)之间的关系尚不清楚。
共纳入来自 TAMI 队列的 1357 例连续入院的 NSTEMI 患者。收集患者的基线人口统计学和临床信息,并进行了 12 个月的随访。主要结局是由全因死亡、不稳定型心绞痛住院、心力衰竭住院、非致命性复发性心肌梗死和靶病变血运重建(TLR)组成的复合 MACEs。我们采用 Cox 比例风险模型分析 NT-proBNP 对 MACEs 的影响,并使用 Harrell C 指数、NRI 和 IDI 量化 NT-proBNP 对全球急性冠状动脉事件登记处(GRACE)风险评分的附加预后价值。
总的平均随访时间为 313 天。共有 211(15.55%)例患者发生至少 1 例 MACE,97 例失访,中位随访时间为 147 天。随着 NT-proBNP 水平的升高,复合 MACEs、全因死亡和心力衰竭的发生率呈显著上升趋势。多变量 Cox 模型显示 NT-proBNP 是复合 MACEs 的独立危险因素[中值与低值相比,HR:2.19(1.45-3.32),P=0.0002];[高值与低值相比,HR:3.07(1.78-5.29),P<0.0001],以及全因死亡和心力衰竭。亚组分析表明,NT-proBNP 是一种稳健的预后生物标志物,对于年龄大于 60 岁和射血分数小于 40%的患者,其预后价值更为明显。NT-proBNP(对数标度)与 GRACE 评分中度相关(r=0.58,P<0.0001)。NT-proBNP 联合 GRACE 评分的 Harrell C 指数为 0.7715,高于单独使用 GRACE 评分的 0.7149,用于预测复合 MACEs,这一改善通过显著的 IDI(0.064,95%CI:0.027-0.106)得到验证。
NT-proBNP 是诊断为 NSTEMI 的患者的一种稳健的长期预后生物标志物,尤其是对于老年患者和心功能射血分数受损的患者。NT-proBNP 水平与 GRACE 评分联合使用可能有助于识别 12 个月后 MACE 风险极高的 NSTEMI 患者亚组。