Department of Environmental Sciences, Ahvaz branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
Air Pollution and Respiratory Diseases (APRD) Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Oct;28(40):56996-57008. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-14493-2. Epub 2021 Jun 3.
Air quality modeling can be considered as a useful tool to predict air quality in the future and determine the control strategies of emissions abatement. In this study, the AERMOD dispersion model has been applied as a tool for the analysis of the values of pollutant emissions from the flares of the Maroon gas refinery located in the suburb of Ahvaz, Iran. First, the values of pollutant emissions from the refinery's flares were investigated by measurement and using the emission factors during cold and warm seasons of 2018. The gas burns continuously in two flares and the other 11 flares are used in emergency situations and only their spark plugs are lit. The type of compounds and their molar, volumetric, and weight percentages were determined by gas chromatography (GC) injection. By entering data such as emission rate, flare characteristics, and topographic and meteorological data of the study area into the AERMOD model, dispersion of pollutants was predicted by using the AERMOD model in the region with an area of 2500 km. The statistical evaluation showed that the maximum 8-h concentration of CO in the cold season was 133441 μg/m which was higher than the standard and reached 9755 μg/m in the warm season that was close to the standard. The maximum hourly concentration of SO was in the cold season with 215 μg/m that was higher than the standard value, occurred in a local scale of 50 km. This can be attributed to the high concentration of SO wet deposition. According to the direction of the wind from the northwest, pollutant emissions can lead to adverse health effects on the population of refinery employees, residents around the refinery, and occupants of passing vehicles. The concentration of pollutants generated due to the high volume of heavier compounds in the gas in the winter season was higher than that of the warm season. Comparison of maximum concentrations of the predicted results with the national and international standards showed that SO and CO concentration is higher than standard values. In total, according to the evaluation of the predictions made, the performance of the AERMOD model was acceptable in the prediction of pollutant concentrations in the study area.
空气质量模型可被视为一种有用的工具,用于预测未来的空气质量,并确定减排的控制策略。本研究应用 AERMOD 扩散模型作为分析伊朗阿瓦兹郊区马隆天然气厂火炬排放污染物值的工具。首先,通过测量和使用 2018 年冷、暖两季的排放因子,研究了该炼油厂火炬的污染物排放量。两个火炬连续燃烧,其余 11 个火炬在紧急情况下使用,仅点燃火花塞。通过气相色谱(GC)进样确定化合物的类型及其摩尔、体积和重量百分比。通过将排放率、火炬特性以及研究区域的地形和气象数据等数据输入 AERMOD 模型,使用 AERMOD 模型预测了该地区 2500 平方公里范围内的污染物扩散情况。统计评估结果表明,冬季 CO 的最大 8 小时浓度为 133441μg/m,高于标准值,夏季接近标准值,为 9755μg/m。冬季最大小时浓度的 SO 为 215μg/m,高于标准值,发生在 50 公里的局部尺度内。这归因于 SO 湿沉降浓度较高。根据来自西北方向的风向,污染物排放可能对炼油厂员工、炼油厂周围的居民以及过往车辆的乘客造成不利的健康影响。由于冬季天然气中较重化合物的体积较大,产生的污染物浓度高于夏季。预测结果的最大浓度与国家和国际标准进行比较后表明,SO 和 CO 浓度高于标准值。总的来说,根据预测结果的评估,AERMOD 模型在研究区域内污染物浓度预测方面表现尚可。