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基于高斯过程回归的超级电容器健康状态预测的高精度隐函数学习。

High precision implicit function learning for forecasting supercapacitor state of health based on Gaussian process regression.

机构信息

National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Micro/Nano Fabrication, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China.

Key Laboratory for Thin Film and Microfabrication of Ministry of Education, Department of Micro/Nano-Electronics, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2021 Jun 8;11(1):12112. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-91241-z.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-021-91241-z
PMID:34103569
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8187390/
Abstract

State of health (SOH) prediction of supercapacitors aims to provide reliable lifetime control and avoid system failure. Gaussian process regression (GPR) has emerged for SOH prediction because of its capability of capturing nonlinear relationships between features, and tracking SOH attenuations effectively. However, traditional GPR methods based on explicit functions require multiple screenings of optimal mean and covariance functions, which results in data scarcity and increased time consumption. In this study, we propose a GPR-implicit function learning, which is a prior knowledge algorithm for calculating mean and covariance functions from a preliminary data set instead of screening. After introducing the implicit function, the average root mean square error (Average RMSE) is 0.0056 F and the average mean absolute percent error (Average MAPE) is 0.6%, where only the first 5% of the data are trained to predict the remaining 95% of the cycles, thereby decreasing the error by more than three times than previous studies. Furthermore, less cycles (i.e., 1%) are trained while still obtaining low prediction errors (i.e., Average RMSE is 0.0094 F and Average MAPE is 1.01%). This work highlights the strength of GPR-implicit function model for SOH prediction of energy storage devices with high precision and limited property data.

摘要

超级电容器的健康状态(SOH)预测旨在提供可靠的寿命控制,避免系统故障。由于高斯过程回归(GPR)能够捕捉特征之间的非线性关系,并有效地跟踪 SOH 的衰减,因此它已成为 SOH 预测的一种方法。然而,基于显式函数的传统 GPR 方法需要多次筛选最优的均值和协方差函数,这会导致数据稀缺和增加时间消耗。在本研究中,我们提出了一种 GPR-隐式函数学习方法,这是一种从初步数据集计算均值和协方差函数的先验知识算法,而不是筛选。引入隐式函数后,平均均方根误差(Average RMSE)为 0.0056 F,平均平均绝对百分比误差(Average MAPE)为 0.6%,其中仅训练数据的前 5%来预测剩余的 95%的循环,从而将误差降低了三倍以上,比之前的研究更准确。此外,即使训练的循环次数更少(即 1%),也可以获得较低的预测误差(即,Average RMSE 为 0.0094 F,Average MAPE 为 1.01%)。这项工作突出了 GPR-隐式函数模型在具有高精度和有限属性数据的储能设备 SOH 预测方面的优势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/53b77f862ea5/41598_2021_91241_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/cb37812c1e90/41598_2021_91241_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/8713c58a9e42/41598_2021_91241_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/35c73999bce7/41598_2021_91241_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/a25177a08ddc/41598_2021_91241_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/2c303c68a0b4/41598_2021_91241_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/53b77f862ea5/41598_2021_91241_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/cb37812c1e90/41598_2021_91241_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/8713c58a9e42/41598_2021_91241_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/35c73999bce7/41598_2021_91241_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/a25177a08ddc/41598_2021_91241_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/2c303c68a0b4/41598_2021_91241_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/18f5/8187390/53b77f862ea5/41598_2021_91241_Fig6_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Development of a green supercapacitor composed entirely of environmentally friendly materials.研制出一种完全由环保材料构成的绿色超级电容器。
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A review of electrode materials for electrochemical supercapacitors.
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