Barritt A Sidney, Watkins Stephanie, Gitlin Norman, Klein Samuel, Lok Anna S, Loomba Rohit, Schoen Cheryl, Reddy K Rajender, Trinh Huy Ngoc, Mospan Andrea R, Vos Miriam B, Weiss L Michael, Cusi Kenneth, Neuschwander-Tetri Brent A, Sanyal Arun J
Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyUNC Liver CenterUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel HillChapel HillNCUSA.
Target RWEDurhamNCUSA.
Hepatol Commun. 2021 Feb 21;5(6):938-946. doi: 10.1002/hep4.1689. eCollection 2021 Jun.
Much of the current data on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are derived from biopsy-based studies that may introduce ascertainment and selection bias. Selection of patients for liver biopsy has implications for clinical practice and the reported epidemiology of NAFLD. The aim of this study was to determine patient factors predictive of histologic versus empiric clinical diagnosis of NAFLD in real-world practice. Adults from TARGET-NASH were included in this study. Descriptive statistics are provided for the cohort and compare the characteristics of histologic NAFLD versus patients with clinically diagnosed NAFLD, followed by logistic regression and machine-learning models to describe predictors of liver biopsy. The records of 3,474 subjects were analyzed; median age was 59 years, 59% were female, 75% were White, and median body mass index was 32 kg/m. Using histologic and/or clinical criteria, a diagnosis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis was made in 37%, and cirrhosis in 33%. Comorbid conditions included cardiovascular disease (19%), mental health diagnoses (49%), and osteoarthritis (10%). Predictors of a biopsy diagnosis included White race, female sex, diabetes, and elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT). ALT increased the odds of liver biopsy by 14% per 10-point rise. Machine-learning analyses showed non-White patients with ALT <69 had only a 0.06 probability of undergoing liver biopsy. ALT was the dominant variable that determined liver biopsy. : In this real-world cohort of patients with NAFLD, two-thirds of patients did not have a liver biopsy. These patients were more likely to be non-White, older, with a normal ALT, showing potential gaps in or knowledge about this population.
目前关于非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)的许多数据都来自基于活检的研究,这类研究可能会引入确诊和选择偏倚。选择患者进行肝活检对临床实践以及所报告的NAFLD流行病学有影响。本研究的目的是确定在实际临床中能够预测NAFLD组织学诊断与经验性临床诊断的患者因素。本研究纳入了来自TARGET - NASH研究中的成年患者。提供了该队列的描述性统计数据,并比较了组织学确诊的NAFLD患者与临床诊断为NAFLD患者的特征,随后采用逻辑回归和机器学习模型来描述肝活检的预测因素。分析了3474名受试者的记录;中位年龄为59岁,59%为女性,75%为白人,中位体重指数为32kg/m²。根据组织学和/或临床标准,37%的患者被诊断为非酒精性脂肪性肝炎,33%的患者被诊断为肝硬化。合并症包括心血管疾病(19%)、精神健康诊断(49%)和骨关节炎(10%)。活检诊断的预测因素包括白人种族、女性、糖尿病和丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)升高。ALT每升高10个单位,肝活检的几率增加14%。机器学习分析显示,ALT<69的非白人患者接受肝活检的概率仅为0.06。ALT是决定肝活检的主要变量。在这个NAFLD患者的实际队列中,三分之二的患者未进行肝活检。这些患者更可能是非白人、年龄较大、ALT正常,这表明在这一人群中存在潜在的差距或认知不足。