Department of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Epidemiology and Prevention Group, Center for Public Health Sciences, National Cancer Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Eur J Nutr. 2021 Dec;60(8):4607-4620. doi: 10.1007/s00394-021-02621-0. Epub 2021 Jun 22.
Long-term associations of dietary glycemic index (GI) and glycemic load (GL) with mortality outcomes remain unclear.
The present analysis included 72,783 participants of the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study. Participants who responded to the 5-year follow-up questionnaire in 1995-1999 were followed-up until December 2015. We estimated the risk of total and cause-specific mortality associated with GI and GL using Cox proportional hazards regression models.
During 1,244,553 person years of follow-up, 7535 men and 4913 women died. GI was positively associated with all-cause mortality. As compared with the lowest quartile, the multivariable HR for those who had the highest quartile of GI was 1.14 (95% CI 1.08-1.20). The HRs for death comparing the highest with the lowest quartile were 1.28 (95% CI 1.14-1.42) for circulatory system diseases, 1.33 (95% CI 1.14-1.55) for heart disease, 1.32 (95% CI 1.11-1.57) for cerebrovascular disease, and 1.45 (95% CI 1.18-1.78) for respiratory diseases. GI was not associated with mortality risks of cancer and digestive diseases. GL showed a null association with all-cause mortality (highest vs lowest quartile; HR 1.04; 95% CI 0.96-1.12). However, among those who had the highest quartile of GL, the HRs for death from circulatory system diseases was 1.24 (95% CI 1.05-1.46), cerebrovascular disease was 1.34 (95% CI 1.03-1.74), and respiratory diseases was 1.35 (95% CI 1.00-1.82), as compared with the lowest quartile.
In this large prospective cohort study, dietary GI and GL were associated with mortality risks.
长期以来,饮食血糖指数(GI)和血糖负荷(GL)与死亡率之间的关联仍不清楚。
本分析纳入了日本公共卫生中心前瞻性研究的 72783 名参与者。1995-1999 年参加了 5 年随访问卷调查的参与者,随访至 2015 年 12 月。我们使用 Cox 比例风险回归模型估计 GI 和 GL 与总死亡率和特定原因死亡率相关的风险。
在 1244553 人年的随访期间,7535 名男性和 4913 名女性死亡。GI 与全因死亡率呈正相关。与最低四分位相比,GI 最高四分位的多变量 HR 为 1.14(95%CI 1.08-1.20)。比较最高四分位与最低四分位,循环系统疾病的 HR 为 1.28(95%CI 1.14-1.42),心脏病为 1.33(95%CI 1.14-1.55),脑血管疾病为 1.32(95%CI 1.11-1.57),呼吸系统疾病为 1.45(95%CI 1.18-1.78)。GI 与癌症和消化系统疾病的死亡率风险无关。GL 与全因死亡率呈零关联(最高与最低四分位;HR 1.04;95%CI 0.96-1.12)。然而,在 GL 最高四分位的人群中,循环系统疾病死亡的 HR 为 1.24(95%CI 1.05-1.46),脑血管疾病为 1.34(95%CI 1.03-1.74),呼吸系统疾病为 1.35(95%CI 1.00-1.82),与最低四分位相比。
在这项大型前瞻性队列研究中,饮食 GI 和 GL 与死亡率风险相关。