University of Limpopo, Polokwane, Limpopo Province, South Africa.
Gordon Institute of Business Science, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa.
PLoS One. 2021 Jun 24;16(6):e0253657. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253657. eCollection 2021.
Factors such as increases in population, urbanization, growth in per capita income and changes in consumer taste and preferences are causing gradual increases in livestock product consumption and demand. South Africa is addressing this predicted increase in livestock products demand by commercializing smallholder livestock producers. The Limpopo Industrial Development Corporation (IDC) Nguni Cattle Development Project is an example of such effort. The economic performance of these efforts needs to be evaluated. We use gross margin analysis to evaluate the performance of the Limpopo IDC Nguni Cattle Development Project. Additionally, we use regression analysis to identify factors influencing gross margins. Our results indicate that although smallholders show potential to commercialize, they lack commercial farming experience and require that a strong extension support system be used as one of the strategies to improve profitability. We also noted that individual farmers were more profitable than group farmers. Multiple regression analysis shows that three variables could be used to stimulate gross margin among the Limpopo IDC Nguni Cattle Development Project farmers. These are herd size, distance to market and farm size. Since farm size is a given, policy should focus on assisting farmers to build their herds and to have better access to markets.
人口增长、城市化、人均收入增长以及消费者口味和偏好的变化等因素,正导致牲畜产品消费和需求的逐步增长。南非正在通过商业化小规模牲畜生产者来应对这一预计的牲畜产品需求增长。林波波工业发展公司(IDC)Nguni 牛发展项目就是这方面努力的一个例子。需要评估这些努力的经济表现。我们使用毛利分析来评估林波波 IDC Nguni 牛发展项目的绩效。此外,我们还使用回归分析来确定影响毛利的因素。我们的结果表明,尽管小规模生产者有商业化的潜力,但他们缺乏商业化农业经验,需要利用强有力的推广支持系统作为提高盈利能力的策略之一。我们还注意到,个体农民比集体农民更有利可图。多元回归分析表明,林波波 IDC Nguni 牛发展项目的农民可以使用三个变量来刺激毛利润,这三个变量是畜群规模、距离市场和农场规模。由于农场规模是既定的,政策应侧重于帮助农民扩大畜群规模,并更好地进入市场。