Department of Earth Sciences, Karakoram International University, Gilgit, 15100, Pakistan.
Environmental Change and Multi-Sphere Interaction (ECMI) TeamState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Environment Changes and Land Surface Processes, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research CAS, Beijing, 100101, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Nov;28(44):63178-63190. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15154-0. Epub 2021 Jul 5.
Ice masses and snow of Hunza River Basin (HRB) are an important primary source of fresh water and lifeline for downstream inhabitants. Changing climatic conditions seriously put an impact on these available ice and snow masses. These glaciers may affect downstream population by glacial lake outburst floods (GLOF) and surge events due to climatic variation. So, monitoring of these glaciers and available ice masses is important. This research delivers an approach for dynamics of major glaciers of the Hunza River Basin. We delineated 27 major glaciers of HRB and examined their status by using Landsat (OLI, ETM+, ETM, TM), digital elevation model (DEM) over the period of 1990-2018. In 1990, the total area covered by these glaciers is about 2589.75 ± 86 km and about 2565.12 ± 68km in 2018. Our results revealed that from 2009 to 2015, glacier coverage of HRB advanced with a mean annual advance rate of 2.22 ± 0.1 km a. Conversely, from 1994 to 1999, the strongest reduction in glacier area with a mean rate of - 3.126 ± 0.3 km a is recorded. The glaciers of HRB are relatively stable compared to Hindukush, Himalayan, and Tibetan Plateau region of the world. The steep slope glacier's retreat rate is more than that of gentle slope glaciers, and the glaciers below an elevation of 5000 m above sea level change significantly. Based on climate data from 1995 to 2018, HRB shows a decreasing trend in temperature and increasing precipitation. The glacier area's overall retreat is due to an increase in summer temperature while the glacier advancement is induced possibly by winter and autumn precipitation.
罕萨河流域(HRB)的冰体和积雪是重要的淡水资源和下游居民的生命线。不断变化的气候条件严重影响了这些可用的冰雪储量。这些冰川可能会因气候变化引发的冰川湖溃决洪水(GLOF)和涌浪事件而影响下游人口。因此,监测这些冰川和可用冰量非常重要。本研究提供了一种监测罕萨河流域主要冰川动态的方法。我们对 HRB 的 27 条主要冰川进行了描绘,并使用 1990 年至 2018 年期间的 Landsat(OLI、ETM+、ETM、TM)和数字高程模型(DEM)对其进行了监测。1990 年,这些冰川的总面积约为 2589.75±86km,而 2018 年约为 2565.12±68km。我们的结果表明,从 2009 年到 2015 年,HRB 的冰川覆盖面积呈线性增加,年均推进速度为 2.22±0.1km/a。相反,从 1994 年到 1999 年,冰川面积的减少最为明显,年均减少率为-3.126±0.3km/a。与兴都库什山脉、喜马拉雅山脉和青藏高原地区的冰川相比,罕萨河流域的冰川相对稳定。陡坡冰川的退缩速度快于缓坡冰川,海拔 5000 米以上的冰川变化明显。基于 1995 年至 2018 年的气候数据,HRB 的温度呈下降趋势,降水呈增加趋势。冰川面积的整体退缩是由于夏季温度升高所致,而冰川前进可能是由冬季和秋季降水引起的。