Zhao Xumao, Li Xinrui, Garber Paul A, Qi Xinzhang, Xiang Zuofu, Liu Xiang, Lian Zhongmin, Li Ming
State Key Laboratory of Grassland Agro-Ecosystems, Institute of Innovati on Ecology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
CAS Key Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chaoyang District, Beijing, China.
Am J Primatol. 2021 Aug;83(8):e23302. doi: 10.1002/ajp.23302. Epub 2021 Jul 12.
Changes in land use and the conversion of natural forests to agricultural fields and cattle pastures are threatening the survival of many species of wild animals, including nonhuman primates. Given its almost 1.4 billion people, China faces a difficult challenge in balancing economic development, human well-being, environmental protection, and animal conservation. We examined the effects of poverty, anthropogenic land use (cropland and pasture/grazing), human population growth, government investment in science and public attention to primates during the period from the 1980s to 2015 on primate population persistence in China. We analyzed these data using generalized mixed-effects models, structural equation models (SEM) and random forests (a machine learning technique). We found that 16 of 21 (76%) primate species in China, for which data are available, have experienced a population decline over the past 35 years. Factors contributing most to primate population decline included human poverty and the conversion of natural habitat to cropland. In contrast, the five species of primates that were characterized by recent population increases were the subjects of substantial government research funding and their remaining distribution occurs principally in protected areas (PAs). We argue that increased funding for research, the establishment and expansion of PAs, a national policy focused on reducing poverty, and educational programs designed to inform and encourage local people to participate in scientific investigation and wildlife protection, can mitigate the negative impacts of historical patterns of land conversion on primate population survival in China.
土地利用的变化以及天然森林向农田和牧场的转变正威胁着包括非人灵长类动物在内的许多野生动物物种的生存。鉴于中国有近14亿人口,在平衡经济发展、人类福祉、环境保护和动物保护方面面临着艰巨挑战。我们研究了20世纪80年代至2015年期间贫困、人为土地利用(农田和牧场/放牧地)、人口增长、政府对科学的投资以及公众对灵长类动物的关注对中国灵长类动物种群存续的影响。我们使用广义混合效应模型、结构方程模型(SEM)和随机森林(一种机器学习技术)对这些数据进行了分析。我们发现,在中国有数据可查的21种灵长类动物中,有16种(76%)在过去35年里种群数量出现了下降。导致灵长类动物种群数量下降的主要因素包括人类贫困以及自然栖息地转变为农田。相比之下,最近种群数量增加的5种灵长类动物是政府大量研究资金的对象,它们剩余的分布主要在保护区(PA)内。我们认为,增加研究资金投入、建立和扩大保护区、制定一项旨在减少贫困的国家政策以及开展旨在宣传并鼓励当地居民参与科学调查和野生动物保护的教育项目,可以减轻历史上土地转变模式对中国灵长类动物种群生存的负面影响。