Baisero Daniele, Schuster Richard, Plumptre Andrew J
Key Biodiversity Areas Secretariat, c/o BirdLife International, Cambridge, UK.
Wildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, New York, USA.
Conserv Biol. 2022 Apr;36(2):e13806. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13806. Epub 2021 Sep 29.
Irreplaceability is a concept used to describe how close a site is to being essential for achieving conservation targets. Current methods for measuring irreplaceability are based on representative combinations of sites, giving them an extrinsic nature and exponential computational requirements. Surrogate measures based on efficiency (complementarity) are often used as alternatives, but they were never intended for this purpose and do not measure irreplaceability. Current approaches used to estimate irreplaceability have key limitations. Some of these are a result of the tools used, but some are due to the nature of the current definition of irreplaceability. For irreplaceability to be stable and useful for conservation purposes and to resolve limitations, irreplaceability measures should adhere to five axioms; baseline coherence, monotonic responsiveness, proportional responsiveness, intrinsic stability, and bounded outputs. We designed a robust method for measuring a site's proximity to irreplaceability that adheres to these requirements and used it to develop the first systematic global map of irreplaceability based on data for terrestrial vertebrates (n = 29,837 species, >1 million grid cells). At least 3.5% of land surface was highly irreplaceable, and 47.6% of highly irreplaceable cells were contained in 12 countries. More generous thresholds of irreplaceability flag greater portions of land surface that would still be realistic to protect under current global objectives. Irreplaceable sites should form a critical component of any global conservation plan and should be part of the UN Convention on Biological Diversity's post2020 Global Biodiversity Framework strategy, forming part of the 30% protection by 2030 target that is gaining support. The reliable identification of irreplaceable sites will be crucial to halting extinctions.
不可替代性是一个用于描述某个地点对于实现保护目标的关键程度的概念。当前衡量不可替代性的方法基于地点的代表性组合,这赋予了它们外在性质并带来指数级的计算要求。基于效率(互补性)的替代指标常被用作替代品,但它们并非为此目的而设计,也无法衡量不可替代性。目前用于估计不可替代性的方法存在关键局限性。其中一些是所用工具导致的结果,但有些则归因于当前不可替代性定义的本质。为使不可替代性稳定且对保护目的有用,并解决相关局限性,不可替代性度量应遵循五个公理:基线一致性、单调响应性、比例响应性、内在稳定性和有界输出。我们设计了一种稳健的方法来衡量一个地点接近不可替代性的程度,该方法符合这些要求,并利用它基于陆地脊椎动物数据(n = 29,837种,>100万个网格单元)绘制了首张系统性的全球不可替代性地图。至少3.5%的陆地表面具有高度不可替代性,47.6%的高度不可替代单元分布在12个国家。更宽松的不可替代性阈值会标记出在当前全球目标下仍切实可行进行保护的更大面积的陆地表面。不可替代地点应成为任何全球保护计划的关键组成部分,并应成为《联合国生物多样性公约》2020年后全球生物多样性框架战略的一部分,构成到2030年实现30%保护目标的一部分,该目标正获得越来越多的支持。可靠识别不可替代地点对于阻止物种灭绝至关重要。