Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; Department of Minimally Invasive Surgical and Medical Oncology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.
Department of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
HPB (Oxford). 2022 Mar;24(3):398-403. doi: 10.1016/j.hpb.2021.06.431. Epub 2021 Jul 7.
The incidence of acute cholecystitis has a seasonal peak in summer. However, the reason for such seasonality remains unclear. This retrospective cohort study was performed to examine the association between ambient temperature and acute cholecystitis.
We identified admissions for acute cholecystitis from January 2011 to December 2017 from a nationwide inpatient database in Japan. We performed a Poisson regression analysis to investigate the association between ambient temperature and admission for acute cholecystitis with adjustment for relative humidity, national holidays, day of the week, and year. We accounted for clustering of the outcome within prefectures using a generalized estimating equation.
We analyzed 601 665 admissions for acute cholecystitis. With an ambient temperature of 5.0 °C-9.9 °C as a reference, Poisson regression showed that the number of admissions increased significantly with increasing temperature (highest above 30 °C; relative risk, 1.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.34-1.37). An ambient temperature of <5.0 °C was also associated with higher admission for acute cholecystitis than an ambient temperature of 5.0 °C-9.9 °C (relative risk, 1.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.21-1.25).
The present nationwide Japanese inpatient database study showed that high temperature (≥10.0 °C) and low temperature (<5.0 °C) were associated with increased admission for acute cholecystitis.
急性胆囊炎的发病率在夏季有一个季节性高峰。然而,这种季节性的原因尚不清楚。本回顾性队列研究旨在研究环境温度与急性胆囊炎之间的关系。
我们从日本全国住院患者数据库中确定了 2011 年 1 月至 2017 年 12 月期间因急性胆囊炎入院的病例。我们采用泊松回归分析来研究环境温度与急性胆囊炎入院之间的关联,并调整了相对湿度、国定假日、星期几和年份的影响。我们使用广义估计方程来解释各县市之间结果的聚类。
我们分析了 601665 例急性胆囊炎入院病例。以环境温度为 5.0°C-9.9°C 为参照,泊松回归显示,随着温度的升高,入院人数显著增加(最高温度超过 30°C;相对风险为 1.35;95%置信区间为 1.34-1.37)。环境温度低于 5.0°C 也与急性胆囊炎入院人数增加相关,与环境温度为 5.0°C-9.9°C 相比(相对风险为 1.23;95%置信区间为 1.21-1.25)。
本项日本全国住院患者数据库研究表明,高温(≥10.0°C)和低温(<5.0°C)与急性胆囊炎入院人数增加相关。