International Laboratory for High-Resolution Earth System Prediction, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
Department of Oceanography, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA.
Nat Commun. 2021 Jul 20;12(1):4422. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-24657-w.
The eastern North Pacific (ENP) has the highest density of tropical cyclones (TCs) on earth, and yet the controls on TCs, from individual events to seasonal totals, remain poorly understood. One effect that has not been fully considered is the unique geography of the Central American mountains. Although observational studies suggest these mountains can readily fuel individual TCs through dynamical processes, here we show that these mountains indeed play the opposite role on the seasonal timescale, hindering seasonal ENP TC activity by up to 35%. We found that these mountains significantly interrupt the abundant moisture transport from the Caribbean Sea to the ENP, limiting deep convection over the open ocean area where TCs preferentially occur. This study advances our fundamental understanding of ENP TC genesis mechanisms across the weather-to-climate timescales, and also highlights the importance of topography representation in improving the ENP regional climate simulations, as well as TC seasonal predictions and future projections.
东北太平洋(ENP)拥有地球上密度最高的热带气旋(TC),但从单个事件到季节总数,TC 的控制仍然知之甚少。一个尚未被充分考虑的影响因素是中美洲山脉独特的地理位置。尽管观测研究表明,这些山脉可以通过动力学过程轻易地为单个 TC 提供燃料,但在这里我们表明,在季节时间尺度上,这些山脉实际上起着相反的作用,最多可阻碍季节 ENP TC 活动 35%。我们发现,这些山脉显著中断了从加勒比海向 ENP 的大量水汽输送,限制了在 TC 更倾向发生的开阔海域的深对流。本研究推进了我们对跨天气到气候时间尺度上的 ENP TC 成因机制的基本理解,同时也强调了在改进 ENP 区域气候模拟以及 TC 季节预测和未来预测中地形表示的重要性。