ICMR-National Institute of Epidemiology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.
King George Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021 Jul 23;15(7):e0009608. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009608. eCollection 2021 Jul.
India has set a goal to eliminate measles and rubella/Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) by 2023. Towards this goal, India conducted nationwide supplementary immunization activity (SIA) with measles-rubella containing vaccine (MRCV) targeting children aged between 9 months to <15 years and established a hospital-based sentinel surveillance for CRS. Reliable data about incidence of CRS is necessary to monitor progress towards the elimination goal.
We conducted serosurveys in 2019-20 among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics of 6 hospitals, which were also sentinel sites for CRS surveillance, to estimate the prevalence of IgG antibodies against rubella. We systematically sampled 1800 women attending antenatal clinics and tested their sera for IgG antibodies against rubella. We used rubella seroprevalence data from the current survey and the survey conducted in 2017 among antenatal women from another 6 CRS surveillance sites to construct a catalytic models to estimate the incidence and burden of CRS.
The seroprevalence of rubella antibodies was 82.3% (95% CI: 80.4-84.0). Rubella seropositivity did not differ by age group and educational status. Based on the constant and age-dependent force of infection models, we estimated that the annual incidence of CRS in India was 225.58 per 100,000 live births (95% CI: 217.49-232.41) and 65.47 per 100,000 live births (95% CI: 41.60-104.16) respectively. This translated to an estimated 14,520 (95% CI: 9,225-23,100) and 50,028 (95% CI: 48,234-51,543) infants with CRS every year based on age-dependent and constant force of infection models respectively.
Our findings indicated that about one fifth of women in the reproductive age group in India were susceptible for rubella. The estimates of CRS incidence will serve as a baseline to monitor the impact of MRCV SIAs, as well progress towards the elimination goal of rubella/CRS.
印度设定了到 2023 年消除麻疹和风疹/先天性风疹综合征(CRS)的目标。为此,印度开展了全国性的含麻疹-风疹疫苗(MRCV)补充免疫活动,目标人群为 9 个月至<15 岁儿童,并建立了基于医院的 CRS 哨点监测。可靠的 CRS 发病率数据对于监测消除目标的进展情况至关重要。
我们于 2019-20 年在 6 家参与 CRS 监测的医院的产前诊所开展了血清学调查,以估计针对风疹的 IgG 抗体流行率。我们系统地抽取了 1800 名在产前诊所就诊的妇女,并检测了她们针对风疹的 IgG 抗体。我们使用当前调查以及 2017 年在另外 6 个 CRS 监测点的产前妇女中进行的调查的风疹血清流行率数据,构建催化模型来估计 CRS 的发病率和负担。
风疹抗体的血清流行率为 82.3%(95%CI:80.4-84.0)。风疹抗体阳性率不因年龄组和教育程度而有所不同。根据常数和年龄相关的感染力模型,我们估计印度 CRS 的年发病率为每 10 万活产儿 225.58 例(95%CI:217.49-232.41)和每 10 万活产儿 65.47 例(95%CI:41.60-104.16)。这相当于根据年龄相关和常数感染力模型,每年估计有 14520 名(95%CI:9225-23100)和 50028 名(95%CI:48234-51543)婴儿患有 CRS。
我们的研究结果表明,印度生育年龄组中有五分之一的妇女对风疹易感。CRS 发病率的估计将作为监测 MRCV 补充免疫活动以及消除风疹/CRS 目标进展情况的基线。