Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Chongqing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(45):64848-64857. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15473-2. Epub 2021 Jul 27.
In the present study, we aim to evaluate the delayed and cumulative effect of ozone (O) exposure on mumps in a megacity with high population density and high humidity. We took Chongqing, a megacity in Southwest China, as the research area and 2013-2017 as the research period. A total of 49,258 confirmed mumps cases were collected from 122 hospitals of Chongqing. We employed the distributed lag nonlinear models with quasi-Poisson link to investigate the relationship between prevalence of mumps and O exposure after adjusting for the effects of meteorological conditions. The results show that the effect of O exposure on mumps was mainly manifested in the lag of 0-7 days. The single-day ;lag effect was the most obvious on the 4th day, with the relative risk (RR) of mumps occurs of 1.006 (95% CI: 1.003-1.007) per 10 μg/m in the O exposure. The cumulative RR within 7 days was 1.025 (95% CI: 1.013-1.038). Our results suggest that O exposure can increase the risk of mumps infection, which fills the gap of relevant research in mountainous areas with high population density and high humidity.
在本研究中,我们旨在评估高人口密度和高湿度的特大城市中臭氧(O)暴露对腮腺炎的延迟和累积影响。我们选择中国西南部的特大城市重庆作为研究区域,研究期间为 2013 年至 2017 年。我们从重庆 122 家医院共收集了 49258 例确诊腮腺炎病例。我们采用具有拟泊松链接的分布式滞后非线性模型,在调整气象条件影响后,研究了腮腺炎流行与 O 暴露之间的关系。结果表明,O 暴露对腮腺炎的影响主要表现在滞后 0-7 天。单日滞后效应在第 4 天最为明显,O 暴露每增加 10μg/m,腮腺炎发生的相对风险(RR)为 1.006(95%CI:1.003-1.007)。7 天内的累积 RR 为 1.025(95%CI:1.013-1.038)。我们的研究结果表明,O 暴露会增加腮腺炎感染的风险,这填补了人口密度高且湿度高的山区相关研究的空白。