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地铁开通对空气质量的影响:来自中国的证据。

The effects of subway openings on air quality: evidence from China.

作者信息

Xiao De, Li Baoxi, Li Qiang, An Lian, Cheng Shixiong

机构信息

School of Business, Hubei University, 368 Youyi Avenue, Wuhan, 430062, Hubei, China.

Research Center of Open Economy, Wuhan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(46):66133-66157. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15482-1. Epub 2021 Jul 30.

Abstract

This paper examines a causal relationship between the opening of a city's subway system and its air quality by exploiting daily data on prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2012. Using multi-period difference in differences (DID) method, we find that air quality can be significantly improved following a subway system opening. Robustness tests support the fundamental empirical results. Heterogeneity analysis shows that cities in the eastern and western regions and cities with higher GDP or cities with larger population experience greater and more significant reduction in pollution. We further find that the air pollution continues to decrease with the extension and prolonged operating period of a subway system. Mechanism analysis shows that the resulted air pollution index (API) reduction is due to the substitution effect of taxi.

摘要

本文利用2000年至2012年中国地级市的日数据,研究了城市地铁系统开通与空气质量之间的因果关系。采用多期双重差分(DID)方法,我们发现地铁系统开通后空气质量可得到显著改善。稳健性检验支持了基本的实证结果。异质性分析表明,东部和西部地区的城市、GDP较高的城市或人口较多的城市污染减少幅度更大、更显著。我们进一步发现,随着地铁系统的延伸和运营时间的延长,空气污染持续下降。机制分析表明,空气污染指数(API)下降是由于出租车的替代效应。

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