School of Finance and Accounting, Fuzhou University of International Studies and Trade, Fuzhou, China.
Faculty of Business, City University of Macau, Macau, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(46):66086-66100. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15535-5. Epub 2021 Jul 30.
Since 1970, numerous governments have established strategic petroleum reserves (SPRs) in relation to oil supply interruptions. In this study, important oil reserves, physical oil supply disruption and social welfare losses due to physical distribution of oil supply have been measured. The physical oil supply disruption has been measured in the form of oil supply vulnerability index and oil volatility index of the South Asian economies. Analysis reveals that the accumulation and drawdown of important national crude oil strategic petroleum reserves where the state wants to optimize individual social welfare while individuals hold over stock optimize their earnings levels. The monetary deciding factors utilize the government's optimum important stockpile policy and simultaneously the amount and economic factors vital for the nongovernment market to actuate the optimum accumulation and nonaccumulation of important fossil fuels stockpile. Additionally, findings show that India is the lowest crude oil insecure country while Afghanistan and Bangladesh are the highest insecure countries in terms of oil supply. India's topmost mark shows a bigger possibility to alter the fossil fuels producers while Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan and Nepal have the minimum mark corroborating the group as the utmost producer risk exposed nations.
自 1970 年以来,许多国家的政府都为应对石油供应中断而建立了战略石油储备(SPR)。在这项研究中,我们测量了重要的石油储备、石油供应中断的实际情况以及石油供应分配对社会福利造成的损失。石油供应中断的情况通过南亚经济体的石油供应脆弱性指数和石油波动性指数来衡量。分析结果表明,在国家希望优化个人社会福利的情况下,国家会积累和消耗重要的国家原油战略石油储备,而个人则会持有超额库存以优化他们的收益水平。货币决策因素利用政府的最优重要储备政策,同时考虑到对非政府市场至关重要的数量和经济因素,以促使重要化石燃料储备的最优积累和非积累。此外,研究结果表明,印度是石油供应最不安全的国家,而阿富汗和孟加拉国则是最不安全的国家。印度的最高得分表明该国更有可能改变石油供应国的地位,而阿富汗、孟加拉国、不丹和尼泊尔的得分最低,表明这些国家是最容易受到石油供应中断影响的国家。