School of Economics and Management, Southwest Forestry University, Yunnan, Kunming, 650233, China.
School of International Studies, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065, Sichuan, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Mar;30(12):33695-33710. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-24541-0. Epub 2022 Dec 9.
The evaluation of energy security offers a standard for policy research and highlights the problems of securing the energy supply. A composite index for analyzing the risk of Southeast Asian nations' oil supply is developed in this study. Indicators used to calculate the index include the import-to-LGE ratio, GPR, market liquidity, gross domestic product, the import-to-consumption ratio, heterogeneity, oil price volatility, US$ volatility, and transportation risk. The index is based on these and other factors. According to the findings, Nepal and Sri Lanka are the most susceptible to oil supply interruptions. This indicates that India is more likely to shift its oil suppliers. At the same time, Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka have the lowest supply risk scores, indicating that they are the most vulnerable to supply disruptions. Reduce the effect of oil supply risk by enacting policies such as the adoption of renewable technologies, nuclear power generation, diversification of exporting supplies, and reducing fossil fuel subsidies.
能源安全评估为政策研究提供了标准,并突出了能源供应保障的问题。本研究构建了一个分析东南亚国家石油供应风险的综合指数。用于计算该指数的指标包括进口与 GDP 之比、石油净进口依存度、市场流动性、国内生产总值、进口与消费之比、异质性、石油价格波动、美元波动和运输风险。该指数基于这些因素。研究结果表明,尼泊尔和斯里兰卡最容易受到石油供应中断的影响。这表明印度更有可能转移其石油供应源。与此同时,马尔代夫、尼泊尔和斯里兰卡的供应风险评分最低,这表明它们最容易受到供应中断的影响。通过采取可再生技术、核能发电、供应来源多样化和减少化石燃料补贴等政策,可以降低石油供应风险的影响。