Science Editor, Medical Science Monitor, International Scientific Information, Inc., Melville, NY, USA.
Med Sci Monit. 2021 Aug 2;27:e934171. doi: 10.12659/MSM.934171.
Infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) commonly presents with pneumonia. However, COVID-19 is now recognized to involve multiple organ systems with varying severity and duration. In July 2021, the findings from a retrospective population study from the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C) Consortium were published that included analysis by machine learning methods of 174,568 adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection from 34 medical centers in the US. The study stratified patients for COVID-19 according to the World Health Organization (WHO) Clinical Progression Scale (CPS). Severe clinical outcomes were identified as the requirement for invasive ventilatory support, or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), and patient mortality. Machine learning analysis showed that the factor most strongly associated with severity of clinical course in patients with COVID-19 was pH. A separate multivariable logistic regression model showed that independent factors associated with more severe clinical outcomes included age, dementia, male gender, liver disease, and obesity. This Editorial aims to present the rationale and findings of the largest population cohort of adult patients with COVID-19 to date and highlights the importance of using large population studies with sophisticated analytical methods, including machine learning.
感染导致 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)通常表现为肺炎。然而,现在已经认识到 COVID-19 涉及多个器官系统,其严重程度和持续时间各不相同。2021 年 7 月,美国国家 COVID 队列协作(N3C)联盟的一项回顾性人群研究结果公布,该研究使用机器学习方法对来自美国 34 家医疗中心的 174568 例 SARS-CoV-2 感染成年人进行了分析。该研究根据世界卫生组织(WHO)临床进展量表(CPS)对 COVID-19 患者进行分层。严重临床结局被确定为需要侵入性通气支持或体外膜氧合(ECMO)以及患者死亡。机器学习分析表明,与 COVID-19 患者临床病程严重程度最密切相关的因素是 pH 值。另一个多变量逻辑回归模型显示,与更严重临床结局相关的独立因素包括年龄、痴呆、男性、肝病和肥胖。本社论旨在介绍迄今为止最大的 COVID-19 成年患者人群队列的基本原理和发现,并强调使用大型人群研究和复杂分析方法(包括机器学习)的重要性。