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建立全球地表土壤中农药模型:探究连续和离散排放模式之间的关系。

Modeling pesticides in global surface soils: Exploring relationships between continuous and discrete emission patterns.

机构信息

School of Public Health (Shenzhen), Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518107, China.

Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Utah State University, Logan, UT 84322, USA.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Dec 1;798:149309. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149309. Epub 2021 Jul 29.

Abstract

Continuous pesticide emission at constant rate does not occur in reality, but can be a useful and simple concept in modeling studies. To explore the relationship between continuous and discrete emission patterns, we introduced a simple equivalent approach based on a comparison of simulated surface soil pesticide concentrations. The simulated results indicate that, at high soil pesticide dissipation rates and low emission frequencies, the average concentrations under the continuous and discrete emission scenarios were very similar. We demonstrated that the continuous emission model that used the simple average method to calculate the emission rate always overestimated the simulated pesticide concentrations in the surface soil compared to the discrete emission model when using a one-year period based on agricultural practices. In addition, we incorporated the equivalent approach into the USEtox model (a screening-level tool), which can approximate the average pesticide concentrations in surface soil using the time-integrated fate factors at different emission frequencies. The results indicate that the continuous-emission simulations agree with the discrete emission for at least 90% of the selected pesticides based on annual or semi-annual emission patterns. Further studies into other topics, such as random emission patterns and simulation periods, are required to improve the model. Nevertheless, the equivalent approach presented in this study can aid in transforming discrete emission patterns into continuous-emission-based models and improve surface soil pesticide management.

摘要

在现实中,持续且恒定速率的农药排放并不常见,但在建模研究中,这一概念非常有用且简单。为了探究连续排放和离散排放模式之间的关系,我们引入了一种简单的等效方法,通过比较模拟的地表土壤农药浓度来实现。模拟结果表明,在土壤中农药消散速率较高且排放频率较低的情况下,连续和离散排放情景下的平均浓度非常相似。我们证明,在基于农业实践的一年周期内,使用简单平均方法计算排放率的连续排放模型总是会高估地表土壤中模拟农药的浓度,而离散排放模型则不会。此外,我们将等效方法纳入 USEtox 模型(一种筛选水平工具)中,该模型可以使用不同排放频率下的时间积分归宿因子来近似地表土壤中的平均农药浓度。结果表明,基于每年或每半年的排放模式,至少有 90%的选定农药的连续排放模拟结果与离散排放结果相符。进一步研究其他主题,如随机排放模式和模拟周期,对于改进模型是必要的。然而,本研究提出的等效方法可以帮助将离散排放模式转化为基于连续排放的模型,并改善地表土壤农药管理。

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