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瑞士一家三级保健中心的第一波和第二波 COVID-19 之间的特征、预测因素和结局比较:一项观察性分析。

Comparison of characteristics, predictors and outcomes between the first and second COVID-19 waves in a tertiary care centre in Switzerland: an observational analysis.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Switzerland.

Institute of Laboratory Medicine, Kantonsspital Aarau, Switzerland.

出版信息

Swiss Med Wkly. 2021 Aug 10;151:w20569. doi: 10.4414/smw.2021.20569. eCollection 2021 Aug 2.

Abstract

AIM OF THE STUDY

To compare admission characteristics, predictors and outcomes of patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) hospitalised in a tertiary care hospital in Switzerland during the first and second waves of the pandemic.

METHODS

This retrospective observational analysis included adult patients with  severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection confirmed by a real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) or rapid antigen test and hospitalised at the Cantonal Hospital Aarau from 26 February to 30 April 2020 (first wave) and from 1 October to 31 December 2020 (second wave). The primary endpoint was all-cause in-hospital mortality. The secondary endpoints were transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) and length of hospital stay (LOS).

RESULTS

Overall, 486 patients (mean age 65.9 years ± 14.7 SD, 65% male) were included. Ninety-two patients (19%) died during the hospital stay and 92 patients (19%) were transferred to the ICU. Admission characteristics, including comorbidities and frailty, were similar for patients of the first (n = 100) and second wave (n = 386). However, during the second wave the median time from symptom onset to presentation to the emergency department (ED) was shorter (7 days, interquartile range [IQR] 4–9 vs 8 days, IQR 4–11; p = 0.02). In the second wave, most patients received high-dose glucocorticoid treatment (0% vs 76%, p <0.01). In-hospital mortality was similar among COVID-19 patients in the first (19/100, 19%) and second wave (73/386, 19%); this finding persisted after full adjustment in multiple regression models (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49–2.80; p = 0.71). Risk for ICU admission was also similar (24% vs 18%; aOR 0.98, 95% CI 0.46–2.06; p = 0.95). More patients were transferred to rehabilitation facilities in the second wave (18% vs 31%; aOR 2.06, 95% CI 1.04–4.07; p = 0.04) and LOS was 2.5 days shorter (9.0 vs 6.5 days; adjusted difference −2.53 days, 95%-CI −4.51 to −0.54; p = 0.01). Main predictors for in-hospital death were patient age (aOR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02–1.11; p <0.01), male sex (aOR 2.41, 95% CI 1.05–5.55; p = 0.04) and the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aOR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09–1.48 p <0.01).

CONCLUSION

Despite differing treatment regimens, mortality and ICU admission remained largely unchanged for COVID-19 patients admitted during the second wave of the pandemic in our tertiary care hospital. However, discharge processes were optimised with patients leaving the hospital earlier and going to rehabilitation facilities more often. &nbsp.

摘要

目的

比较瑞士一家三级护理医院在大流行的第一波和第二波期间住院的确诊 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)患者的入院特征、预测因素和结局。

方法

这项回顾性观察分析包括在 2020 年 2 月 26 日至 4 月 30 日(第一波)和 2020 年 10 月 1 日至 12 月 31 日(第二波)期间因严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒 2 型(SARS-CoV-2)感染通过实时逆转录酶聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)或快速抗原检测而确诊并住院于阿劳州立医院的成年患者。主要终点是全因院内死亡率。次要终点是转入重症监护病房(ICU)和住院时间(LOS)。

结果

共有 486 名患者(平均年龄 65.9 岁±14.7 标准差,65%为男性)被纳入研究。92 名患者(19%)在住院期间死亡,92 名患者(19%)转入 ICU。第一波(n = 100)和第二波(n = 386)患者的入院特征,包括合并症和虚弱程度,相似。然而,在第二波中,从症状出现到急诊室就诊的中位时间更短(7 天,四分位距 [IQR] 4–9 与 8 天,IQR 4–11;p = 0.02)。在第二波中,大多数患者接受了高剂量糖皮质激素治疗(0% vs 76%,p <0.01)。第一波(19/100,19%)和第二波(73/386,19%)COVID-19 患者的院内死亡率相似;在多回归模型充分调整后,这一发现仍然存在(调整后的优势比 [aOR] 1.18,95%置信区间 [CI] 0.49–2.80;p = 0.71)。ICU 入院风险也相似(24% vs 18%;aOR 0.98,95%CI 0.46–2.06;p = 0.95)。第二波中更多的患者转往康复设施(18% vs 31%;aOR 2.06,95%CI 1.04–4.07;p = 0.04),住院时间缩短 2.5 天(9.0 天 vs 6.5 天;调整差异−2.53 天,95%-CI−4.51 至−0.54;p = 0.01)。院内死亡的主要预测因素是患者年龄(aOR 1.07,95%CI 1.02–1.11;p <0.01)、男性(aOR 2.41,95%CI 1.05–5.55;p = 0.04)和年龄调整后的 Charlson 合并症指数(aOR 1.27,95%CI 1.09–1.48 p <0.01)。

结论

尽管治疗方案不同,但在我们的三级护理医院中,COVID-19 患者在大流行的第二波期间住院期间,死亡率和 ICU 入院率基本保持不变。然而,出院流程得到了优化,患者更早离开医院并更多地前往康复设施。

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