Sino-France Institute of Earth Systems Science, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, PR China.
Agricultural Clean Watershed Research Group, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, PR China.
Glob Chang Biol. 2021 Nov;27(22):5877-5888. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15847. Epub 2021 Aug 29.
Cropland ammonia (NH ) emission is a critical driver triggering haze pollution. Many agricultural policies were enforced in past four decades to improve nitrogen (N) use efficiency while maintaining crop yield. Inadvertent reductions of NH emissions, which may be induced by such policies, are not well evaluated. Here, we quantify the China's cropland-NH emission change from 1980 to 2050 and its response to policy interventions, using a data-driven model and a survey-based dataset of the fertilization scheme. Cropland-NH emission in China doubled from 1.93 to 4.02 Tg NH -N in period 1980-1996, and then decreased to 3.50 Tg NH -N in 2017. The prevalence of four agricultural policies may avoid ~3.0 Tg NH -N in 2017, mainly located in highly fertilized areas. Optimization of fertilizer management and food consumption could mitigate three-quarters of NH emission in 2050 and lower NH emission intensity (emission divided by crop production) close to the European Union and the United States. Our findings provide an evidence on the decoupling of cropland-NH from crop production in China and suggest the need to achieve cropland-NH mitigation while sustaining crop yields in other developing economies.
农田氨(NH )排放是引发雾霾污染的关键驱动因素。在过去的四十年里,许多农业政策被实施,以提高氮(N)利用效率,同时保持作物产量。这些政策可能会无意中减少 NH 排放,但目前对此类排放的减少情况还没有进行很好的评估。在这里,我们使用数据驱动模型和基于调查的施肥方案数据集,量化了 1980 年至 2050 年中国农田-NH 排放的变化及其对政策干预的响应。中国农田-NH 排放在 1980-1996 年期间翻了一番,从 1.93 增至 4.02 吨 NH -N,然后在 2017 年降至 3.50 吨 NH -N。四项农业政策的普遍实施可能避免了 2017 年约 3.0 吨 NH 的排放,主要集中在施肥量较高的地区。优化肥料管理和粮食消费可以在 2050 年减少四分之三的 NH 排放,并使 NH 排放强度(排放除以作物产量)接近欧盟和美国的水平。我们的研究结果为中国农田-NH 与作物产量脱钩提供了证据,并表明在其他发展中经济体中需要在维持作物产量的同时实现农田-NH 的减排。