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评估印度半岛南部参考作物蒸散量的时空变异性和趋势分析。

Assessment of spatiotemporal variability and trend analysis of reference crop evapotranspiration for the southern region of Peninsular India.

机构信息

Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Manipal Institute of Technology, Manipal, Karnataka, 576104, India.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jun;29(28):41953-41970. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15958-0. Epub 2021 Aug 18.

Abstract

Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET) is an essential requirement for water resource management and scheduling agricultural activities. Several empirical methods have been employed in estimating ET across diverse climate regimes over the past decades. In this study, the Python implementation for estimation of daily and monthly ET values of representative stations of ten agro-climatic zones of Karnataka from 1979 to 2014 using the standard FAO Penman-Monteith method was carried out. The assessment of temporal and spatial variability of monthly ET values across the various agro-climatic zones done by the various statistical measures revealed that the variation in spatial ET values was higher than temporal variation, indicating major difference in ET values was with respect to the stations rather than years under study. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test conducted at 1% significance level on the annual ET values revealed a statistically significant increasing trend for all the ten stations during the study period. The trend test conducted on the climate variables like mean air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and solar radiation signifies their influence on the annual ET values. The magnitude changes in the trends detected by the Theil Sen's slope indicated that increasing values of mean temperature, solar radiation, and decreasing values of relative humidity predominantly contributed to the annual upward trend in ET values for the 10 stations. A trivial impact of wind speed on annual ET values was observed for the stations. Kalburgi and Udupi stations exhibited a positive ET trend with the highest and lowest annual values among ten stations.

摘要

准确估算参考蒸散量(ET)是水资源管理和农业活动调度的基本要求。在过去几十年中,已经采用了几种经验方法来估算不同气候条件下的 ET。在这项研究中,使用标准的 FAO Penman-Monteith 方法,对卡纳塔克邦 10 个农业气候区的代表性站点的日和月 ET 值进行了 Python 实现估计,时间范围为 1979 年至 2014 年。通过各种统计措施对各农业气候区月 ET 值的时空变异性进行评估,结果表明月 ET 值的空间变化大于时间变化,这表明 ET 值的主要差异是相对于各站点而不是研究年份。在 1%的显著水平上对年 ET 值进行的非参数 Mann-Kendall 检验表明,在研究期间,所有 10 个站点的年 ET 值都呈统计上显著的增加趋势。对平均气温、风速、相对湿度和太阳辐射等气候变量进行的趋势检验表明,它们对年 ET 值有影响。Theil Sen 斜率检测到的趋势变化幅度表明,平均温度、太阳辐射的增加值和相对湿度的减少值主要导致了 10 个站点的年 ET 值呈上升趋势。风速对年 ET 值的影响微不足道。卡尔巴吉和乌杜皮站表现出正的 ET 趋势,其年值在 10 个站点中最高和最低。

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